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Central bank committee room with one empty chair at the table — what PCE at 3.5% means for gold investors as four central banks hold rates amid stagflation signals
PCE inflation hit 3.5% in March — the highest since May 2023 — while Q1 GDP grew just 2.0%, missing the 2.2% forecast. Four central banks held rates the same morning, with two signalling they discussed hikes. When growth slows and inflation stays hot, the Fed is trapped. That trap has historically been the strongest environment for physical gold and silver....
A wooden ruler snapped in two, photographed on a grey surface — illustrating the broken inflation measurement framework facing the incoming Federal Reserve Chair.
The incoming Fed Chair wants to change how inflation is measured. That single shift — from core PCE to trimmed mean — could reopen the path to rate cuts and compress the real yields that drive gold....
Aerial view of an active open pit gold mine at golden hour, with terraced rock walls, haul trucks, and a flat Arctic landscape stretching to the horizon.
The world's most disciplined gold miner just committed $3.8B into a 19% gold correction. Here's why that institutional bet matters more than the price move....
Federal Reserve Eccles Building in Washington D.C. under overcast skies
Gold is down, oil is surging, and the Fed is frozen. If that seems contradictory, it isn't — once you understand how real yields work. Five briefs explain exactly what's driving markets on April 29, 2026....
Gold bars and Turkish lira banknotes side by side, illustrating why Turkey sold its gold reserves to defend its currency.
Turkey sold over 100 tonnes of gold to defend the lira after a regional war shock. The mainstream read this as bearish for gold. They got it backwards....
`Gold bars stacked in front of a Brent crude price chart showing $112`
Every time the Strait of Hormuz briefly reopens, gold spikes. Every time, it reverses. It's happened twice since February 28 — and it's the same mechanism both times. Here's why the spike never holds, and what would actually change it....
Oil tanker navigating a narrow strait, aerial view
Oil hit $100 for the first time since early April. The UAE just quit OPEC. The Fed is trapped. Each development points to the same place — and gold is already there....
Aerial view of an open-pit copper mine in Chile's Atacama Desert, where sulfuric acid shortages threaten silver byproduct supply
China banned sulfuric acid exports. It never mentioned silver. But 70% of newly mined silver is a byproduct of copper mining — and that's exactly where the ban hits hardest....
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaking at a press conference podium with multiple microphones, Federal Reserve seal visible in the background
Powell chairs his last FOMC. The rate decision is priced in — what matters is whether his April 29 press conference signals a path back to cuts, and what that means for gold and silver....
Three gold bars resting on a vintage relief map showing the Middle East, Persian Gulf, and Strait of Hormuz
Iran's Hormuz proposal bounced silver. The blockade hit 38 ships. Analysts raised gold to $4,916. Powell's last FOMC starts today — one word decides what's next....

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