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Gold and Silver Industry & Investing News

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Gold Shines Brightest in 2025, UBS Sees More Gains Ahead

Gold has outshined every major asset in 2025, climbing 28% so far and reaching $3,337 per ounce in mid-August. UBS forecasts the metal to hit $3,500 by December and keep rising into 2026. Driving factors include central banks’ steady buying, the strongest ETF inflows since 2010, and rising global demand—the highest since 2011. UBS points to U.S. fiscal concerns, geopolitical tensions, and a weaker dollar as further support. While higher Fed rates remain a risk, the bank says gold remains a key hedge and portfolio diversifier.

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The Case for a 10% Gold Allocation in Tough Times

Gold is often dismissed as outdated, but the numbers tell another story. Adding just 10% gold to an equity-heavy portfolio barely reduced returns yet significantly cut risk and improved downside protection. In nearly every major downturn over the past decade, gold buffered losses—helping investors stay the course when markets were at their worst. Despite lacking yield, gold remains a crisis-tested store of value trusted worldwide, making it an obvious choice for portfolio resilience.

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Goldman Sachs: Gold Trades Like Manhattan Real Estate, Not Oil

Goldman Sachs analysts argue that gold acts more like Manhattan real estate than oil. The reason: gold isn’t consumed like other commodities; it’s accumulated and passed between owners. With nearly 220,000 metric tons still in existence and annual supply adding just 1%, prices are determined by buyers’ willingness to hold. Two groups dominate the market: conviction buyers (central banks, ETFs, speculators) who buy regardless of price, and opportunistic buyers (emerging market households) who step in only when prices drop. Similar to Manhattan housing, where a fixed supply means the “marginal buyer” sets the price, conviction buyers explain about 70% of...

Precious Metals Remain Range-Bound Despite Strong YTD Gains

Gold and silver are holding steady despite strong year-to-date gains, with prices boxed in by a lack of fresh catalysts. Gold has pivoted around $3,350 in recent months, supported by record ETF holdings (25-month high) and central bank accumulation, while silver benefits from industrial demand and ongoing supply deficits. Still, rallies are capped by firm Treasury yields and fading dollar strength. Attention now turns to Jackson Hole and Fed Chair Powell’s keynote, with markets pricing a September rate cut but uncertain about the path ahead. A dovish Fed pivot, weaker labor data, or renewed geopolitical tensions could provide the spark...

Trafigura Expands Into Gold and Silver as Prices Surge

Commodity giant Trafigura is expanding into gold and silver trading, hiring three experienced traders from MKS Pamp and OCIM to strengthen its presence in the sector. The new desk will handle doré, semi-processed bars refined into bullion, and could eventually push Trafigura into the bullion market traditionally dominated by major banks. The move comes as gold prices hover above $3,500 an ounce and silver climbs more than 30% this year, offering strong profit potential. By diversifying into precious metals, Trafigura is looking to offset competitive pressures in copper and aluminum while tapping into a growing but tightly controlled global gold...

Malaysia Leads Growth in Shariah-Compliant Gold Investing

Shariah-compliant gold investing is on the rise, particularly in Malaysia, as Islamic investors seek alternatives to cash and interest-bearing products. Recent initiatives include a new 20-tonne secure vault, halal gold-backed ETFs, and bank-led digital gold savings products. With global Islamic finance projected to hit $7.5 trillion by 2028, gold’s non-interest-bearing nature makes it a natural fit. However, strict rules on ownership transfer and asset backing mean awareness and education are crucial for continued growth in this market.

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Gold Demand Surge Prompts UBS to Lift Price Target to $3,600/oz

UBS boosted its gold price target by $100 to $3,600/oz for March 2026, with further upside to $3,700/oz by June. The bank points to sticky U.S. inflation, Fed policy easing, and ongoing dollar weakness as major supports for gold. UBS also highlights strong investment flows, with ETF demand forecast to hit its highest level since 2010 and central bank purchases remaining robust. Altogether, global gold demand is projected to rise 3% in 2025 to the highest level in over a decade.

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Gold Gains Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty and Fed Speculation

Gold prices rose slightly on Tuesday as the U.S. dollar weakened, making the metal more attractive to international buyers. Traders are increasingly betting on lower interest rates, with markets seeing a strong chance of a Fed rate cut in September. All eyes are now on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium later this week, which could provide important clues about the Fed’s next move. Analysts note that gold has been trading in a tight range recently, pulled by global events such as peace talks in Ukraine and signs of weakness in the U.S. labor market. Despite...

Perth Mint Gold Scandal: Mint Regains Global Confidence

Hong Kong is accelerating plans to become an international gold trading hub, with Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po announcing that comprehensive support measures will be unveiled later this year. The initiatives will include provisions for physical gold delivery infrastructure as the special administrative region seeks to strengthen its position in the global commodity trading ecosystem. This move builds on Hong Kong’s recent success in joining the London Metal Exchange’s global warehouse network, which has already resulted in eight operational LME-approved warehouses handling over 8,000 metric tons of exchange-registered warrants. The gold trading expansion is part of Hong Kong’s broader strategy...

The massive issuance of Treasury bills is rapidly draining excess cash from the financial system, creating potential liquidity challenges for the U.S. Treasury. With over $1 trillion in T-bills expected to flood the market over the next 18 months following the debt ceiling increase to $41.1 trillion, the Federal Reserve’s overnight reverse repo facility (RRP) has plummeted from over $2 trillion in mid-2023 to just $182 billion recently. Money market funds, holding a record $7.4 trillion in assets, are eagerly absorbing the new T-bill supply by reallocating from repos and the Fed’s RRP facility. However, this dramatic shift raises concerns...

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