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CPI Hits 3.3%, GDP Stalls — Is Stagflation 2026 Here?

stagflation2026

March CPI surged to 3.3% — the highest since May 2024 — while Q4 GDP sits at just 0.5%. The stagflation 2026 thesis is now backed by hard data. Gold eyes a third weekly gain as the Iran ceasefire cracks and Islamabad talks loom. Five stories you need this morning.

Hot PCE, Stalling Growth, and an Oil Crisis That Isn’t Over 

PCE inflation February 2026

PCE inflation came in at 2.8% year-over-year in February — above the 2.6% forecast and unchanged from January. Combined with near-stalled Q4 GDP growth and an unresolved energy crisis, today’s data paints a complicated picture for the Fed and a familiar one for gold.

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