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The Fed Just Priced Out Half a Rate Hike. Gold Barely Noticed.

A plain metal coin balanced on its edge on dark stone, representing the coin-flip odds in the Waller rate hike gold price debate.

September rate hike odds fell to roughly 50.3% after Fed Governor Christopher Waller signalled he could support a hold. Gold barely responded. It had already banked a 2.4% gain before he spoke, then slipped. Here is which channel is actually driving the metal, and what August CPI decides.

5 Market Moves for August 25 — Gold Pullback, Jackson Hole, Intel’s Warning and more

Gold Retreats from Two-Week High as Dollar Gains  Gold pulled back after Friday’s pop, as a stronger dollar made bullion pricier for overseas buyers. Spot gold dipped 0.2% to $3,364/oz while December futures eased to $3,410. The retreat came after gold touched its highest level since August 11 on Friday, following Fed Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole speech.  Traders still see an 85–90% chance of a 25bp Fed cut on September 17, supportive for gold in the long run. In the near term, however, gold is tracking the dollar. UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo noted Powell’s comments point to only a modest […]

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