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Oil Crashed 11%. Gold Went Up. That Tells You Everything.

Oil Crashed 11%. Gold Went Up. That Tells You Everything.

Oil crashed 11% on Friday when Iran reopened the Strait of Hormuz. Gold went up. That rare divergence — oil down, gold up, same catalyst — signals that gold’s rally is driven by monetary forces, not geopolitical ones. The war premium left oil. The monetary premium stayed in gold. Here is what that means for precious metals investors watching the Fed’s next move.

Gold Jumps 2% as Trump Plans Iran War Address Tonight 

gold price Iran war

Gold jumped 2% to start Q2 as Trump hinted at an Iran ceasefire and prepared a prime-time address. The IEA warned April’s oil crunch will be twice as bad as March’s. Plus: today’s ADP and ISM data signal a stagflationary squeeze the Fed can’t ignore.

Gold Prices and Real Interest Rates: What Every Investor Must Know 

gold prices and real interest rates

Real interest rates — not headlines — drive gold prices. When real yields fall, gold rises. When they rise, gold faces headwinds. Learn how to read the 10-year TIPS yield, breakeven inflation rate, and Fed rate expectations to anticipate gold’s next move and align your precious metals allocation accordingly.

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