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PCE Drops Thursday. Here’s What It Means for Gold.

The US Treasury Building in Washington DC photographed from ground level on an overcast day, with broad stone steps in the foreground and neoclassical columns framing the facade — illustrating the federal institution behind PCE inflation data and interest rate policy affecting gold prices.

The Fed doesn’t watch CPI. It watches PCE — and the May reading drops Thursday, June 25. Here’s the mechanism linking this one number to gold prices, rate-hike odds, and what long-term holders need to understand before the week is out.

Gold Is Down 9%. The CPI Print That Could Either Extend the Drop — or End It.

Gold Is Down 9%. The CPI Print That Could Either Extend the Drop — or End It.

Gold is down 9% from its April high near $4,800. Two forces drove the pullback: the Iran–Israel ceasefire unwound the geopolitical risk premium, and a blowout jobs report pushed Fed rate-hike odds to 68–70% by December. The May CPI print is the next catalyst. Here’s the mechanism behind the move — and what each scenario means for physical holders.

Is Now a Good Time to Buy Gold? Here’s the Macro Case

Is Now a Good Time to Buy Gold? Here's the Macro Case

Gold has pulled back 13–14% from its January all-time high of $5,589. The dollar is weakening, the IMF has cut its growth forecast, and central banks bought 863 tonnes of gold in 2025. Here’s what the macro picture is signaling.

5 Market Moves for August 25 — Gold Pullback, Jackson Hole, Intel’s Warning and more

Gold Retreats from Two-Week High as Dollar Gains  Gold pulled back after Friday’s pop, as a stronger dollar made bullion pricier for overseas buyers. Spot gold dipped 0.2% to $3,364/oz while December futures eased to $3,410. The retreat came after gold touched its highest level since August 11 on Friday, following Fed Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole speech.  Traders still see an 85–90% chance of a 25bp Fed cut on September 17, supportive for gold in the long run. In the near term, however, gold is tracking the dollar. UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo noted Powell’s comments point to only a modest […]

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