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BofA Says the Stock Market Is About to Snap Back. Gold Is Down 3% This Year. Do the Math.

Gold bullion bar resting on a dark surface beside a sharply rising green candlestick chart, illustrating the gold vs S&P 500 2026 performance gap as equity speculation reaches its most extreme level since 1999 to 2000.

Bank of America placed current equity speculation at its most extreme since 1999 to 2000 — the year before gold began a decade-long, 659% bull run. Gold is down 3% year-to-date while the S&P 500 is up 9%. When earnings-driven assets compress from these extremes, capital moves toward assets that require no earnings at all. That mechanism has not changed.

Gold Holds at $4,347 While Stocks Hit All-Time Highs. Here’s Why.

Gold bars stacked on a metal rack in the foreground while stock market screens show the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq climbing — illustrating why gold is going up today even as equities hit record highs.

The Iran peace deal removed the war premium from gold. But the monetary premium — driven by $39 trillion in US debt, central bank buying, and fiscal deficits — is untouched. Here’s why gold held while stocks hit records, and what Warsh’s FOMC press conference means next.

Gold vs Stocks vs Real Estate: What the Data Shows

A brass balance scale on a wooden desk with gold bars and coins on one side outweighing US dollar bills on the other, set against a dark blurred bookshelf background

Stocks are at historically extreme valuations. The 40-year bond bull market is over. Real estate carries new structural risks. When you compare gold vs stocks vs real estate through a data lens, one asset class stands apart — and the macro conditions driving it are only getting stronger.

When Markets Crash, Gold Does This Every Time

Grand marble staircase with brass railings inside a classical financial institution, viewed from below looking upward

Fear moves faster than greed — and gold has proven it across every major crisis of the last 100 years. Here’s what the historical record actually shows, from the Great Depression to COVID.

Gold During the 1929 Crash: What History Tells Us

Gold During the 1929 Crash: What History Tells Us

When the Dow lost 89.2% between 1929 and 1932, gold preserved its purchasing power. Across every major crisis since — 2000, 2008, 2020 — the same pattern held. Here’s what the historical record says about gold during a stock market crash, and what investors did differently.

Gold vs Stocks & Bonds: What the Data Really Suggests 

Most investors rely on stocks for growth and bonds for stability — but the data tells a more complex story. Discover what gold actually does in a portfolio that traditional assets cannot, and why the case for including it has never been stronger.

How Gold Performs in Recessions: What History Tells Us 

gold performance during recessions

Gold has a centuries-long reputation as a safe haven during economic turmoil — but does the historical data back it up? From the Great Depression to the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 recession, gold has consistently preserved wealth when equity markets faltered. This article examines the data behind gold’s recession performance, compares it against stocks across major downturns, and explains what history tells us about using gold as a portfolio hedge before the next recession arrives.

Are We Entering a “Super Capital Rotation”?

Are We Entering a “Super Capital Rotation”?

Analysts warn we may be entering a Super Capital Rotation — a massive shift of money from stocks into silver and gold. In a new discussion with Northstar Bad Charts, Alan Hibbard breaks down why silver could be the key trigger, the $55–$56 breakout zone to watch, and how this setup echoes the late 1960s before metals went parabolic.

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