Gold and Silver Hold As Bessent Promises a Hormuz Deal, a Vessel Gets Hit, and JOLTS Drops

Gold is up 0.70% this morning as Treasury Secretary Bessent signals a Hormuz deal could arrive today, JOLTS data lands at 10am, the NY Fed warns on rates, silver outperforms gold 3-to-1, and the dollar hits a seven-week low. Five forces, one thread: the September rate hike debate.
The Same Force That Crushed Gold All Year Just Flipped

The mechanism that sent gold lower for five months just ran in reverse. Trump held off a planned strike on Iran Saturday night. Oil dropped more than 5%. Gold rose. Here is why those two moves are connected — and what this week’s jobs data decides next.
Central Banks Just Crossed a Line Not Seen Since 1996

The ECB just confirmed gold has overtaken U.S. Treasuries as the world’s top reserve asset for the first time since 1996. India’s government denied selling $12 billion in gold the same morning Bloomberg said it did. And gold is trading $300 below what 30 Reuters analysts say it should be worth. Five signals. One story.
