Are Silver Investors Watching the Wrong Numbers?

Many silver investors believe rising COMEX deliveries, falling registered inventory, and physical movement should directly drive price. But the data tells a different story. In this analysis, Alan Hibbard explains three common COMEX silver delivery misconceptions and breaks down how the silver market actually works — from futures price discovery to settlement, warehouse accounting, and logistics. Understanding these mechanics can help investors avoid misleading narratives and make steadier decisions in volatile markets.
COMEX Default in March? The Truth Behind the Silver Shortage Claims

Is a COMEX Silver Default in March really looming? With 400 million ounces of open interest and only 100 million ounces registered, headlines suggest a breaking point. But the math behind the panic misunderstands how futures delivery actually works. Here’s what investors need to know about open interest, delivery mechanics, and the real probability of a COMEX default.
Why Silver Moves Like This — Understanding Silver Volatility

Silver’s violent price swings aren’t anomalies or conspiracies — they’re structural. This breakdown explains why silver is so volatile, from thin investable markets and rigid supply to leverage, futures trading, and feedback loops that amplify every move.
Why New CME Trading Rules Could Push Silver to $100

The CME’s shift to percentage-based margin requirements is changing how silver trades in the paper market. While leveraged traders and short sellers face rising costs as prices climb, physical silver investors remain completely unaffected — a distinction that could matter more as volatility and supply tightness increase.
