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Treasury Borrowing Forecast: $618 Billion, $24 Billion Catch 

Stone columns of the U.S. Treasury building viewed through glass, with soft reflections in overcast daylight.

A $125 billion Treasury refunding is not $125 billion in new borrowing. The November 4 plan replaces about $97 billion of maturing debt, while the separate quarter-wide forecast calls for $618 billion in net borrowing. The starting cash balance explains the apparent contradiction.

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