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Moody’s Signals Potential US Debt Downgrade

Published: 04-01-2025, 04:20 pm | Updated: 04-01-2025, 10:15 am

Moody’s ratings agency has warned it may downgrade US government debt in 2025, following similar moves by S&P and Fitch who already reduced US ratings from AAA to AA+. Moody’s currently maintains an AAA rating but with a negative outlook since 2023.

The agency is concerned about unchecked federal debt growth (now at 100% of GDP compared to 44% for other AAA-rated nations), rising interest costs, and declining debt affordability.

The situation appears likely to worsen as Congress prepares to pass Trump-backed tax cuts and extensions later this year. The Congressional Budget Office projects debt will reach 119% of GDP in 10 years and 136% in 20 years—and these projections don’t account for the pending tax cuts that could add $4-10 trillion more debt over the next decade.

Gold bars beside a tablet showing a price spike and correction chart — a guide for investors who bought gold at the top
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Buying the Top: A Survival Guide for Gold and Silver Investors

Gold hit $5,589 in January 2026. It trades near $4,100 today. If you bought near the top, your paper loss is real — but it is not final. This guide walks through your three strategic paths: hold patiently, dollar-cost average at lower prices, or harvest the tax loss and immediately repurchase. The structural case for gold has not changed. The price has.

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July 10, 2026

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