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Why Silver’s 32% YTD Rise Might Just Be the Beginning

Brandon Sauerwein, Editor

Silver YTD 2025

Something significant is happening in the silver market. At $38 an ounce, silver just hit its highest level since 2011 — and the conditions driving this 32% year-to-date rally look different from past spikes.

Here’s what’s creating this perfect storm: Physical silver is becoming harder to source (borrowing costs have surged above 6%, a red flag for supply stress), while new tariff headwinds are hitting major producers. Add rising investment demand to this mix, and you have silver knocking on the door of critical breakout territory.

The big question: Are we witnessing the early stages of a historic move higher? 

In Case You Missed It: Mike’s Latest Silver Forecasts

Short Term Silver Price Target: $48/oz

Back in April, Mike Maloney identified a massive cup-and-handle formation in silver — a classic pattern that often precedes powerful breakouts.

Fast forward to this week: that breakout is now underway. His latest update shows: 

  • We’ve cleared the old resistance with “minimal selling pressure”
  • The path to $48 is now open
  • When $50 breaks, we enter “clear air” with no overhead resistance 

This setup has taken 14 years to develop — and Mike believes it’s now unlocking the next leg higher. 

🚀 Long-Term Outlook: Silver’s Parabolic Potential

Mike zooms out to reveal the full picture — and what he sees is potentially historic. The same “cup and handle” pattern is showing across multiple timeframes, a rare alignment that’s echoed past silver bull markets.

If the pattern plays out, we could be looking at price targets of $300, $400, even $500+.

Mike breaks it all down using inflation-adjusted charts, technical history, and investor psychology. If you hold silver, or are considering it, this is a must-watch.

Recent Articles

Market Pulse: This Week in the News

🏦 Central Banks Turn to Local Gold Amid Global Risk
More central banks are tapping domestic gold sources to boost reserves as prices push past $3,300/oz. Countries like Ghana, Tanzania, and the Philippines are bypassing global markets — sourcing gold from local miners and paying in local currency. The goal? Build buffers against geopolitical risk and currency volatility without draining foreign reserves.

💵 Morgan Stanley Raises Gold Forecast to $3,800
Gold’s long-term outlook just got a bullish upgrade. Morgan Stanley now projects gold will hit $3,800 by Q4 2025, citing a weakening U.S. dollar, persistent inflation risks, and renewed demand from China and central banks. The bank has also flagged silver and copper as top picks in the metals space.

📅 Tariff Pressures Push U.S. Inflation to Five-Month High
Inflation is back in the spotlight. June CPI rose 2.7%, the sharpest jump since January — with fuel, food, and imported goods leading the way. Economists point to renewed tariff pressures, as Trump’s proposed trade policies ripple through supply chains. Core CPI hit 2.9%, tightening the Fed’s room to cut rates.

🌐 World Gold Council: Gold Tariffs Unlikely, But Not Impossible
Could gold face tariffs under a Trump administration? The World Gold Council says it’s unlikely — but warns that in today’s climate, “anything is possible.” While gold isn’t classified as a critical mineral, shifting trade priorities and logistical disruptions could bring surprises. Meanwhile, central banks continue their 15-year buying streak, reinforcing gold’s role as a global hedge.

₿ Bitcoin Breaks $122K as Crypto Week Begins on Capitol Hill
Bitcoin soared past $122,000 this week, driven by optimism over new U.S. crypto legislation and ETF inflows. Lawmakers kicked off “Crypto Week,” debating bills like the CLARITY Act and GENIUS stablecoin package. With over $2.7B flowing into Bitcoin ETFs in just a week, institutional interest is booming. Other digital assets like Ether and Solana are following suit.

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Silver Price Forecast 2025 — $42/oz Milestone & 45% YTD Gains

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Silver’s Breaking Point: Why One Delivery Failure Could Send Prices Above $100 Overnight
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