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100 Days In: Trump’s ‘Strategic Uncertainty’ on Tariffs Leaves Markets Guessing

President Trump’s first 100 days back in office have been marked by significant uncertainty around tariffs, which appear to be his administration’s top economic priority but also the biggest drag on his popularity.

Despite promises of quick deals, negotiations with foreign nations remain unclear, with Trump and his team offering contradictory statements about progress.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently described this approach as “strategic uncertainty,” highlighting a pattern that extends beyond trade to other policy areas where progress has been slower than initially promised.

A tall stack of gold coins next to a shorter stack of silver coins, visually representing the gold-silver ratio — the price relationship between the two precious metals.
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Why Is Silver Down 5%? The Gold-Silver Ratio Explains.

Gold is down 1.7% today. Silver is down 5.4%. The gold-silver ratio just hit 67 — and it’s not a valuation signal. It’s a real-time diagnostic of two forces colliding: the Iran peace dividend versus the Fed’s rate-hike threat. Here’s which one is winning, and why Thursday’s PCE report is the swing factor.

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Atlanta Fed Forecasts Recession | Projects a 2.8% GDP Contraction in Q1 25
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Moody’s Warns: Trump Tariffs Put U.S. Economic Stability at Risk 

Published: 03-26-2025, 09:30 am | Updated: 03-26-2025, 07:30 am Moody’s has issued a warning that President Trump’s tariff policies could weaken America’s economic strength and worsen concerns about the U.S. deficit. The credit rating agency predicts these tariffs will negatively impact business investment, consumer confidence, and prevent interest rate cuts by the Fed. Moody’s also noted that U.S. government debt affordability is significantly weaker than in previous decades, with the deficit projected to reach 8.5% of GDP within ten years. While acknowledging the unique position of the U.S. dollar as a reserve currency, Moody’s suggests that fiscal weakening will likely

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Barron’s: Gold Could Reach $4,000 as Investors Flee Risk

Published: 03-26-2025, 08:25 am | Updated: 03-26-2025, 04:49 am Multiple market strategists, including Bloomberg’s Mick McGlone, Yardeni Research, and Jeffrey Gundlach, forecast gold could hit $4,000 as investors flee riskier assets amid market uncertainty. This shift is already underway, with the S&P 500 dropping 8.1% and Bitcoin falling nearly 13% since February, while gold gained 3% during the same period. Gold has surged nearly 40% over the past year, reaching a record high before settling at $3,020. ETF flows dramatically illustrate this change, as investors have pulled over $4 billion from once-hot Bitcoin ETFs while pouring nearly $7 billion into

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Stagflation Concerns Drive Gold Higher Ahead of Reciprocal Tariff Announcement

Published: 03-26-2025, 04:54 am Gold prices edged up 0.2% to $3,026.38 an ounce on Wednesday as markets brace for President Trump’s sweeping reciprocal tariff plans expected on April 2. Analysts warn these policies could create a stagflationary scenario – combining high inflation with slow economic growth – which typically supports gold prices. U.S. consumer confidence has already fallen to a four-year low as households fear recession and tariff-driven inflation. Gold, traditionally a hedge against economic instability, has climbed over 15% this year, reaching an all-time high of $3,057.21 on March 20. Investors are also monitoring upcoming Federal Reserve officials’ speeches

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