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100 Days In: Trump’s ‘Strategic Uncertainty’ on Tariffs Leaves Markets Guessing

President Trump’s first 100 days back in office have been marked by significant uncertainty around tariffs, which appear to be his administration’s top economic priority but also the biggest drag on his popularity.

Despite promises of quick deals, negotiations with foreign nations remain unclear, with Trump and his team offering contradictory statements about progress.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently described this approach as “strategic uncertainty,” highlighting a pattern that extends beyond trade to other policy areas where progress has been slower than initially promised.

Saving vs Investing Explained: The One Shift That Builds Wealth
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Saving vs Investing Explained: The One Shift That Builds Wealth

Most people think saving is safe and investing is risky—but it’s the opposite when you understand value. In Saving vs Investing Explained: The One Shift That Builds Wealth, Alan Hibbard shows why holding cash quietly destroys purchasing power and how separating real savings from risk assets builds lasting financial strength.

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“Boring” Gold Beats Nasdaq by 30% Over 5 Years

Gold just outperformed the Nasdaq over five years — up 129% versus 99% — while bank stress pushes prices to all-time highs above $4,370/oz. HSBC now forecasts $5,000 gold by 2026, citing central-bank demand and lower rates ahead. With Washington’s shutdown freezing economic data and the IMF warning of fragile financial conditions, safe-haven assets are in focus. Here’s today’s market wrap.

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Gold and Silver Hit Records Amid Shutdown Stalemate

Gold set new records near $4,240 while silver hovers just below all-time highs. Trade tensions with China, a U.S. government shutdown, India’s festival demand shift, and a proposed $40B U.S. backstop for Argentina are keeping risk on edge — and the safe-haven bid alive. Here’s what matters for prices, policy, and positioning today.

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Oil Falls Below $72 as Trade War Threatens Demand

Oil markets have reversed all gains made in 2025 as escalating trade tensions between the US and China threaten global economic growth and energy consumption. West Texas Intermediate crude fell below $72 per barrel following China’s announcement of retaliatory measures, which include a 10% tariff on US oil imports and 15% levies on coal and LNG. While direct US oil exports to China are modest at 250,000 barrels per day, the broader implications of a trade war between the world’s largest economies could significantly impact global energy demand. The market volatility comes amid already concerning signals, including declining Chinese manufacturing

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India Gold Demand Slump Deepens as Asia Faces Soaring Prices
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High-End Gold Market Thrives Despite Record Prices

The luxury gold market in China is showing strength in the face of unprecedented market conditions, with high-end products maintaining strong sales despite gold prices reaching 40 new records and rising up to 30%. This trend is particularly evident in Laopu Gold Co Ltd’s performance, whose shares jumped over 70% during its Hong Kong stock exchange debut in June. According to China International Capital Corp Ltd (CICC), the company is projected to achieve extraordinary growth in 2024, with revenue expected to increase 136% year-on-year to 7.5 billion yuan ($1 billion) and net profits surging 187% to 1.2 billion yuan. CICC

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Yuan Under Pressure as Trade War Looms

China’s central bank faces mounting pressure to relax its tight control over the yuan as Trump’s trade tariffs threaten to impact exports. Analysts from ANZ Banking and Malayan Banking expect the PBOC to allow the yuan’s daily fixing to weaken past 7.2 per dollar, a level carefully defended since Trump’s election. The offshore yuan has already touched 7.3734, its lowest since October 2022, though it recovered after Trump indicated willingness to negotiate. Goldman Sachs projects the onshore yuan could reach 7.4-7.5, suggesting a potential 3.4% decline. While currency depreciation could help offset tariff impacts, China must balance this against risks

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