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Crude Oil Climbs as Markets Eye Crucial US-China Trade Negotiations

Oil prices climbed more than 1% on Thursday as markets responded positively to upcoming trade negotiations between the United States and China, the world’s two largest oil consumers. Brent crude futures rose 89 cents (1.5%) to $62.01 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude increased by $1.02 (1.8%) to $59.09. SEB analyst Ole Hvalbye noted the market has stabilized above $61 a barrel, with support coming from optimism around the scheduled “ice-breaker” talks between U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and China’s top economic official on May 10 in Switzerland. Analysts suggest that other trade agreements, such as the one announced with the UK, could also positively impact the market.

However, planned production increases by OPEC+ are expected to exert downward pressure on prices. Citi Research has reduced its three-month Brent forecast to $55 from $60 per barrel, while maintaining its $60 long-term outlook for the year. They also noted that a potential U.S.-Iran nuclear deal could push Brent prices toward $50, while failure to reach an agreement could drive prices above $70.

Gold price outlook August 2026: chart showing gold's correction and recovery, with Jobs, CPI, and PPI data releases marking the turning point
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Gold Price Outlook August 2026: What Three Data Prints in One Week Mean for Your Metals

Gold is up 10% in August from near $4,000 — its best monthly gain since January. Three data prints in one week flipped the September rate-hike calculus: jobs, CPI, and PPI all came in soft. Hike odds fell from 50% to 31%. Central banks bought a quarterly record 288.9 tonnes in Q2 even as prices fell. Here is what it means for gold holders — and what to watch before the September 15–16 FOMC.

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Gold bar resting on a crumpled supermarket receipt on a checkout counter, with a blurred retail store aisle in the background — illustrating how falling consumer sentiment and rising inflation expectations are driving gold prices higher in August 2026.
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Gold Rebounds to $4,392 as Sentiment Crashes to 51 and Inflation Expectations Rise

The University of Michigan’s August Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 51 — missing the 54.5 consensus and ending two months of improvement — while inflation expectations rose to 4.3%. The simultaneous drop in growth confidence and rise in price expectations creates a stagflation signal that limits the Federal Reserve’s options and extends gold’s tailwind heading into September.

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Gold bar resting on a crumpled supermarket receipt on a checkout counter, with a blurred retail store aisle in the background — illustrating how falling consumer sentiment and rising inflation expectations are driving gold prices higher in August 2026.
News

Gold Rebounds to $4,392 as Sentiment Crashes to 51 and Inflation Expectations Rise

The University of Michigan’s August Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 51 — missing the 54.5 consensus and ending two months of improvement — while inflation expectations rose to 4.3%. The simultaneous drop in growth confidence and rise in price expectations creates a stagflation signal that limits the Federal Reserve’s options and extends gold’s tailwind heading into September.

Read More »

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