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Crude Oil Climbs as Markets Eye Crucial US-China Trade Negotiations

Oil prices climbed more than 1% on Thursday as markets responded positively to upcoming trade negotiations between the United States and China, the world’s two largest oil consumers. Brent crude futures rose 89 cents (1.5%) to $62.01 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude increased by $1.02 (1.8%) to $59.09. SEB analyst Ole Hvalbye noted the market has stabilized above $61 a barrel, with support coming from optimism around the scheduled “ice-breaker” talks between U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and China’s top economic official on May 10 in Switzerland. Analysts suggest that other trade agreements, such as the one announced with the UK, could also positively impact the market.

However, planned production increases by OPEC+ are expected to exert downward pressure on prices. Citi Research has reduced its three-month Brent forecast to $55 from $60 per barrel, while maintaining its $60 long-term outlook for the year. They also noted that a potential U.S.-Iran nuclear deal could push Brent prices toward $50, while failure to reach an agreement could drive prices above $70.

Rows of freshly cast gold bars cooling in steel molds on a refinery production line, warm furnace glow in the background — why is China buying gold at record pace in 2026
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China Bought the Most Gold Since 2023 in July. Here’s Why.

China’s central bank just recorded its largest single-month gold purchase since October 2023. The number is notable. The structural reason behind it — a 19-percentage-point reserve allocation gap that no short-term price move will close — is what every gold owner needs to understand.

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A polished gold bar labeled Fine Gold 999.9 sits on a printed chart comparing core inflation vs headline inflation, showing two diverging CPI lines measured year-over-year from 2018 through 2024
Articles

Two Inflation Numbers Come Out Every Month. The Fed Only Cares About One.

The Fed releases two inflation numbers every month — headline CPI and core CPI. They tell very different stories, and the Fed only acts on one of them. Here is what each measure captures, why the Fed leans on core PCE to set interest rates, and why that gap between what you pay and what the Fed watches matters for gold investors.

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Gold bars stacked in rows inside an institutional vault, representing central bank gold reserves and the five forces driving the gold price and silver rally higher today.
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Five Unrelated Forces All Moved Gold and Silver Higher Today. That Doesn’t Happen Often.

Five unrelated forces moved gold and silver higher on August 12, 2026 — and their convergence on a single session is rarer than it looks. July CPI landed clean, China’s central bank extended its record 21-month buying streak, gold entered overbought territory for the first time since March, silver’s dual engines fired simultaneously, and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Here is what each one means.

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Latest News

Rows of freshly cast gold bars cooling in steel molds on a refinery production line, warm furnace glow in the background — why is China buying gold at record pace in 2026
News

China Bought the Most Gold Since 2023 in July. Here’s Why.

China’s central bank just recorded its largest single-month gold purchase since October 2023. The number is notable. The structural reason behind it — a 19-percentage-point reserve allocation gap that no short-term price move will close — is what every gold owner needs to understand.

Read More »
Gold bars stacked in rows inside an institutional vault, representing central bank gold reserves and the five forces driving the gold price and silver rally higher today.
News

Five Unrelated Forces All Moved Gold and Silver Higher Today. That Doesn’t Happen Often.

Five unrelated forces moved gold and silver higher on August 12, 2026 — and their convergence on a single session is rarer than it looks. July CPI landed clean, China’s central bank extended its record 21-month buying streak, gold entered overbought territory for the first time since March, silver’s dual engines fired simultaneously, and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Here is what each one means.

Read More »

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