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Crude Oil Climbs as Markets Eye Crucial US-China Trade Negotiations

Oil prices climbed more than 1% on Thursday as markets responded positively to upcoming trade negotiations between the United States and China, the world’s two largest oil consumers. Brent crude futures rose 89 cents (1.5%) to $62.01 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude increased by $1.02 (1.8%) to $59.09. SEB analyst Ole Hvalbye noted the market has stabilized above $61 a barrel, with support coming from optimism around the scheduled “ice-breaker” talks between U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and China’s top economic official on May 10 in Switzerland. Analysts suggest that other trade agreements, such as the one announced with the UK, could also positively impact the market.

However, planned production increases by OPEC+ are expected to exert downward pressure on prices. Citi Research has reduced its three-month Brent forecast to $55 from $60 per barrel, while maintaining its $60 long-term outlook for the year. They also noted that a potential U.S.-Iran nuclear deal could push Brent prices toward $50, while failure to reach an agreement could drive prices above $70.

Two vintage house keys on a split wooden surface — left key tagged 2.65% in warm light, right key tagged 6.49% behind glass in cool shadow, with a 1oz fine gold bar centered between them — illustrating gold and Fed policy's generational divide in housing affordability
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Gold and Fed Policy: When the System Picks Winners

The Fed chair told Congress today that rate policy gave one generation a once-in-a-lifetime shot at homeownership and priced the next one out. That admission — made under oath — is the clearest official statement yet of what sound money holders have long understood: the dollar system picks winners and losers based on timing. Gold doesn’t.

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Silver price outlook July 2026 — XAG/USD daily chart showing silver's spike to $121 in January 2026 and correction to $58.99, with a physical silver bar in the foreground.
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Silver Price Outlook July 2026: Two Catalysts, One Setup

Silver trades at $58.55 — down 52% from its January all-time high, yet the supply deficit is widening, the gold-silver ratio sits at 69:1, and institutional forecasts remain well above current prices. Here is what June CPI and the July 28–29 FOMC meeting mean for silver right now.

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Gold coins stacked next to a US dollar bill — why the 10-5-3 rule fails gold and silver investors
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Why the 10-5-3 Rule Fails Gold and Silver Investors

Excerpt:
The 10-5-3 rule helps investors set return expectations for stocks, bonds, and cash. But gold and silver aren’t paper assets — and measuring them with a framework built for yield and earnings leads to the wrong conclusions every time. Here’s what precious metals investors use instead.

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Two vintage house keys on a split wooden surface — left key tagged 2.65% in warm light, right key tagged 6.49% behind glass in cool shadow, with a 1oz fine gold bar centered between them — illustrating gold and Fed policy's generational divide in housing affordability
News

Gold and Fed Policy: When the System Picks Winners

The Fed chair told Congress today that rate policy gave one generation a once-in-a-lifetime shot at homeownership and priced the next one out. That admission — made under oath — is the clearest official statement yet of what sound money holders have long understood: the dollar system picks winners and losers based on timing. Gold doesn’t.

Read More »

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