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Dollar Plunges as Trump’s Threats Against Fed Chair Rattle Investors

US financial markets experienced significant turbulence on Monday as investors reacted to growing speculation that President Trump might attempt to dismiss Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. The dollar dropped to its lowest level since December 2023, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index falling as much as 1%, while US stock futures declined 1.3% and 10-year Treasury yields climbed.

The market reaction intensified after National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett acknowledged that Trump was studying the possibility of firing Powell, despite legal scholars noting that a president lacks clear authority to dismiss a Fed chair. Powell has previously stated he would not resign if asked.

This development compounds existing concerns about US assets stemming from aggressive trade tariffs that have fueled recession fears and eroded confidence in Treasuries as a safe-haven investment. Analysts warn that questioning the Fed’s independence could severely damage trust in the dollar, with one strategist noting such credibility is “difficult to win back if ever lost.”

A brass balance scale with gold bars on the left pan outweighing papers labeled Rate Hike, ETF Outflows, and Dollar on the right — illustrating State Street's gold forecast that structural tailwinds outweigh tactical headwinds heading into 2027.
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State Street Predicts $5,500 Gold by Q1 2027: Is the Dip Over?

State Street’s July 2026 Monthly Gold Monitor targets $5,000 per ounce into early 2027, with a 70% probability baseline range of $4,750–$5,500. Here is the structural case behind the forecast — record global debt, central bank buying, and a stock-bond correlation breakdown — and what a gold recovery means for silver’s high-beta setup.

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Consumer Inflation Expectations Just Fell to 4.2%. Gold Fell Too. The Survey Missed the Oil Spike.
News

Consumer Inflation Expectations Just Fell to 4.2%. Gold Fell Too. The Survey Missed the Oil Spike.

The University of Michigan’s July survey showed inflation expectations falling to 4.2% — normally good news for gold. Yet gold fell anyway, trading near $4,019.87 and down roughly 3% for the week. The reason: more than 70% of survey responses were collected before July 7, when US airstrikes on Iran resumed and oil spiked 13%. Gold isn’t reacting to last month’s survey. It’s pricing next month’s.

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Oil refinery at dusk reflecting financial price chart in glass panel — gold price correction July 2026
News

Gold Fell 3.4% This Week. The Long-Term Case Didn’t.

Gold fell 3.4% in the week ending July 17 — its largest weekly decline since June 1. Six days of U.S.-Iran escalation drove oil up 12%, repricing Fed rate-hike odds and pressuring gold to $3,968. Banks cut their 2026 average forecasts. Asia’s physical buyers did the opposite — and the structural case for gold ownership remains intact.

Read More »

Latest News

Consumer Inflation Expectations Just Fell to 4.2%. Gold Fell Too. The Survey Missed the Oil Spike.
News

Consumer Inflation Expectations Just Fell to 4.2%. Gold Fell Too. The Survey Missed the Oil Spike.

The University of Michigan’s July survey showed inflation expectations falling to 4.2% — normally good news for gold. Yet gold fell anyway, trading near $4,019.87 and down roughly 3% for the week. The reason: more than 70% of survey responses were collected before July 7, when US airstrikes on Iran resumed and oil spiked 13%. Gold isn’t reacting to last month’s survey. It’s pricing next month’s.

Read More »
Oil refinery at dusk reflecting financial price chart in glass panel — gold price correction July 2026
News

Gold Fell 3.4% This Week. The Long-Term Case Didn’t.

Gold fell 3.4% in the week ending July 17 — its largest weekly decline since June 1. Six days of U.S.-Iran escalation drove oil up 12%, repricing Fed rate-hike odds and pressuring gold to $3,968. Banks cut their 2026 average forecasts. Asia’s physical buyers did the opposite — and the structural case for gold ownership remains intact.

Read More »

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