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Economists Lower 2025 Growth Expectations as Inflation Concerns Linger

Economists now expect slower US growth in 2025 – just 2% for the year instead of the previously predicted 2.3%, according to Bloomberg’s latest survey. The first three months of 2025 look particularly weak, with growth expected at only 1.2%, down from earlier forecasts of 2.2%.

This slowdown is happening because both consumers and businesses are spending less money due to uncertainty about President Trump’s changing trade policies. At the same time, inflation is expected to reach 2.8% by year-end, higher than the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. Because of this persistent inflation, the Fed is being cautious about cutting interest rates further.

Businesses are importing more goods now (up 12.9% in early 2025) to stock up before potential tariffs hit. Both consumer and business confidence surveys show growing pessimism, and economists now see a 30% chance of recession within the next year, up from 25% in the previous survey.

Silver price outlook July 2026 — XAG/USD daily chart showing silver's spike to $121 in January 2026 and correction to $58.99, with a physical silver bar in the foreground.
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Silver Price Outlook July 2026: Two Catalysts, One Setup

Silver trades at $58.55 — down 52% from its January all-time high, yet the supply deficit is widening, the gold-silver ratio sits at 69:1, and institutional forecasts remain well above current prices. Here is what June CPI and the July 28–29 FOMC meeting mean for silver right now.

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Gold coins stacked next to a US dollar bill — why the 10-5-3 rule fails gold and silver investors
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Why the 10-5-3 Rule Fails Gold and Silver Investors

Excerpt:
The 10-5-3 rule helps investors set return expectations for stocks, bonds, and cash. But gold and silver aren’t paper assets — and measuring them with a framework built for yield and earnings leads to the wrong conclusions every time. Here’s what precious metals investors use instead.

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