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February Inflation Cools to 2.8%, Beating Economist Forecasts

U.S. inflation rose less than expected in February, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increasing 0.2% for the month, bringing the annual inflation rate to 2.8%.

Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, also rose 0.2% monthly and 3.1% annually. These figures came in 0.1 percentage point below economist forecasts, providing some relief amid concerns about potential tariff impacts on future inflation.

Housing costs, which make up more than one-third of the CPI calculation, rose 0.3% and accounted for approximately half of February’s overall inflation increase. Food and energy indexes both rose 0.2%, while used vehicle prices jumped 0.9% and apparel increased 0.6%. Some notable price surges included eggs (up 10.4% for the month and 58.8% year-over-year) and motor vehicle insurance (up 0.3% monthly and 11.1% annually). However, airline fares decreased by 4% in February.

Silver Falls 6% on Jobs Beat. The Six-Year Deficit Didn't.
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Silver Falls 6% on Jobs Beat. The Six-Year Deficit Didn’t.

Silver fell nearly 6% after May’s blowout jobs report sent rate hike odds to 67% and the 10-year Treasury to 4.54%. Gold dropped too — but only half as much. Here’s why: silver runs on two engines. The jobs report hit the monetary one hard. The industrial one — solar, EVs, AI infrastructure — didn’t flinch. And the World Silver Survey 2026 deficit of 46.3 million ounces? Unchanged. One Friday’s data moves prices. It doesn’t move ounces.

Read More »
Gold Rate Hike Fears Are Weighing on Prices. Here's the Full Picture.
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Gold Rate Hike Fears Are Weighing on Prices. Here’s the Full Picture.

Gold slipped to $4,448 this week as rate-hike fears and Middle East tensions drove a 2% weekly loss. Central banks bought 244 tonnes in Q1 2026 — yet retail demand has cooled sharply. With May jobs data due today and gold holding just above its 200-day moving average, here is what five key developments mean for anyone holding precious metals right now.

Read More »
Gold at $4,480: Physical Demand Hits a 50-Year Milestone
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Gold at $4,480: Physical Demand Hits a 50-Year Milestone

Central banks reshape gold markets through the most concentrated sovereign buying in decades — but that’s only one of five forces moving gold right now. Physical investment is overtaking jewelry demand for the first time on record. Russia’s figures don’t add up. China just hit the brakes. Here’s what’s driving the market.

Read More »
Gold Holds $4,481 With Rate Hike Risk Rising. Here's the NFP Decision Map.
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Gold Holds $4,481 With Rate Hike Risk Rising. Here’s the NFP Decision Map.

Gold is holding near $4,481 with rate hike risk rising — a divergence that, in any prior rate cycle, would have already sent gold lower. Tomorrow’s May jobs report is the last major data point before Warsh’s first FOMC meeting June 16–17. Here’s the three-scenario decision map: what a hot print, an in-line print, and a soft miss each mean for gold — and why the Fed’s policy trap makes the structural case for sound money regardless of Friday’s number.

Read More »

Latest News

Silver Falls 6% on Jobs Beat. The Six-Year Deficit Didn't.
News

Silver Falls 6% on Jobs Beat. The Six-Year Deficit Didn’t.

Silver fell nearly 6% after May’s blowout jobs report sent rate hike odds to 67% and the 10-year Treasury to 4.54%. Gold dropped too — but only half as much. Here’s why: silver runs on two engines. The jobs report hit the monetary one hard. The industrial one — solar, EVs, AI infrastructure — didn’t flinch. And the World Silver Survey 2026 deficit of 46.3 million ounces? Unchanged. One Friday’s data moves prices. It doesn’t move ounces.

Read More »
Gold Rate Hike Fears Are Weighing on Prices. Here's the Full Picture.
News

Gold Rate Hike Fears Are Weighing on Prices. Here’s the Full Picture.

Gold slipped to $4,448 this week as rate-hike fears and Middle East tensions drove a 2% weekly loss. Central banks bought 244 tonnes in Q1 2026 — yet retail demand has cooled sharply. With May jobs data due today and gold holding just above its 200-day moving average, here is what five key developments mean for anyone holding precious metals right now.

Read More »
Gold at $4,480: Physical Demand Hits a 50-Year Milestone
News

Gold at $4,480: Physical Demand Hits a 50-Year Milestone

Central banks reshape gold markets through the most concentrated sovereign buying in decades — but that’s only one of five forces moving gold right now. Physical investment is overtaking jewelry demand for the first time on record. Russia’s figures don’t add up. China just hit the brakes. Here’s what’s driving the market.

Read More »

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