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February Inflation Cools to 2.8%, Beating Economist Forecasts

U.S. inflation rose less than expected in February, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increasing 0.2% for the month, bringing the annual inflation rate to 2.8%.

Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, also rose 0.2% monthly and 3.1% annually. These figures came in 0.1 percentage point below economist forecasts, providing some relief amid concerns about potential tariff impacts on future inflation.

Housing costs, which make up more than one-third of the CPI calculation, rose 0.3% and accounted for approximately half of February’s overall inflation increase. Food and energy indexes both rose 0.2%, while used vehicle prices jumped 0.9% and apparel increased 0.6%. Some notable price surges included eggs (up 10.4% for the month and 58.8% year-over-year) and motor vehicle insurance (up 0.3% monthly and 11.1% annually). However, airline fares decreased by 4% in February.

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Gold at $4,480: Physical Demand Hits a 50-Year Milestone
News

Gold at $4,480: Physical Demand Hits a 50-Year Milestone

Central banks reshape gold markets through the most concentrated sovereign buying in decades — but that’s only one of five forces moving gold right now. Physical investment is overtaking jewelry demand for the first time on record. Russia’s figures don’t add up. China just hit the brakes. Here’s what’s driving the market.

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Gold Holds $4,481 With Rate Hike Risk Rising. Here’s the NFP Decision Map.

Gold is holding near $4,481 with rate hike risk rising — a divergence that, in any prior rate cycle, would have already sent gold lower. Tomorrow’s May jobs report is the last major data point before Warsh’s first FOMC meeting June 16–17. Here’s the three-scenario decision map: what a hot print, an in-line print, and a soft miss each mean for gold — and why the Fed’s policy trap makes the structural case for sound money regardless of Friday’s number.

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