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Global Currency Markets Rocked by German Spending Surge and Escalating Trade Wars

Global markets saw major changes Wednesday as two powerful forces came together: Trump’s expanding trade war and a dramatic shift in German spending policy.

The dollar fell to three-month lows, dropping 2.3% in just three days—the biggest fall since late 2022. This came as new US tariffs hit imports from Canada, Mexico, and China on Tuesday. Both Canada and China quickly hit back with their own tariffs, and Mexico promised to do the same.

In Europe, German political parties made a historic decision by agreeing to a massive €500 billion infrastructure fund. They also completely changed their borrowing rules—a move that Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid called “one of the largest fiscal shifts in post-war history.” One analyst described it as “a really big bazooka.” This news sent German 30-year bond yields soaring by nearly a quarter percentage point, their biggest one-day jump since October 1998. The euro reached a four-month high against the dollar, while European stocks rose 1.2% to break records.

At the same time, China’s National People’s Congress kept its growth target at 5% for 2025 but increased its budget deficit from 3% to 4% of GDP to fight against US tariff effects. Oil prices fell for the third straight day, hitting six-month lows as traders worried about weaker energy demand from trade tensions and OPEC+ plans to increase production in April.

Jeff Clark discusses gold price drawdown history and the current buying window — GoldSilver video
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Gold’s 27% Drawdown Matches 2008 and COVID Almost Exactly. That’s Not a Warning.

Gold has fallen roughly 27% from its January 2026 high — almost identical to its drawdown in 2008 and during COVID. Both of those corrections resolved to significant new highs. Jeff Clark breaks down what history says comes next, why central bank buying hasn’t slowed, and the third historical parallel that makes this moment even more precise than either prior comparison.

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Gold Is Up $40. Here Is What the 9-3 Fed Vote Actually Means.

The Federal Reserve voted 9-3 to hold rates on July 29 — the most divided FOMC decision since September 2016. Three regional bank presidents dissented in favor of an immediate hike. Gold is up more than $40. Here is exactly why the vote count matters more than the headline decision, and what it means for gold and silver heading into September.

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Class 3 vault door with embossed certification stamp — the highest commercial vault rating under UL Standard 608
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Class 3 Vault: The Two-Hour Attack Standard That Protects Your Gold

A Class 3 vault must withstand more than two continuous hours of sustained attack by professional burglars using power tools and cutting torches. It is the highest commercial vault rating under UL Standard 608 — and a mandatory condition of NYMEX/COMEX licensure, not a marketing claim. Here is exactly what that standard requires, and what it means for the gold you store.

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Latest News

Jeff Clark discusses gold price drawdown history and the current buying window — GoldSilver video
Videos

Gold’s 27% Drawdown Matches 2008 and COVID Almost Exactly. That’s Not a Warning.

Gold has fallen roughly 27% from its January 2026 high — almost identical to its drawdown in 2008 and during COVID. Both of those corrections resolved to significant new highs. Jeff Clark breaks down what history says comes next, why central bank buying hasn’t slowed, and the third historical parallel that makes this moment even more precise than either prior comparison.

Read More »
Gold price reacts to FOMC 9-3 vote split July 2026 — Federal Reserve scoreboard showing nine holds against three dissents
News

Gold Is Up $40. Here Is What the 9-3 Fed Vote Actually Means.

The Federal Reserve voted 9-3 to hold rates on July 29 — the most divided FOMC decision since September 2016. Three regional bank presidents dissented in favor of an immediate hike. Gold is up more than $40. Here is exactly why the vote count matters more than the headline decision, and what it means for gold and silver heading into September.

Read More »

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