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Global Currency Markets Rocked by German Spending Surge and Escalating Trade Wars

Global markets saw major changes Wednesday as two powerful forces came together: Trump’s expanding trade war and a dramatic shift in German spending policy.

The dollar fell to three-month lows, dropping 2.3% in just three days—the biggest fall since late 2022. This came as new US tariffs hit imports from Canada, Mexico, and China on Tuesday. Both Canada and China quickly hit back with their own tariffs, and Mexico promised to do the same.

In Europe, German political parties made a historic decision by agreeing to a massive €500 billion infrastructure fund. They also completely changed their borrowing rules—a move that Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid called “one of the largest fiscal shifts in post-war history.” One analyst described it as “a really big bazooka.” This news sent German 30-year bond yields soaring by nearly a quarter percentage point, their biggest one-day jump since October 1998. The euro reached a four-month high against the dollar, while European stocks rose 1.2% to break records.

At the same time, China’s National People’s Congress kept its growth target at 5% for 2025 but increased its budget deficit from 3% to 4% of GDP to fight against US tariff effects. Oil prices fell for the third straight day, hitting six-month lows as traders worried about weaker energy demand from trade tensions and OPEC+ plans to increase production in April.

Silver Has Two Engines. Stagflation Is the One Condition That Fires Both at Once.
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Silver Has Two Engines. Stagflation Is the One Condition That Fires Both at Once.

Most assets have a simple relationship with stagflation. Silver doesn’t. It answers to two entirely separate demand pools — industrial and monetary — that in most macro environments pull against each other. Stagflation is the rare condition where both pull in the same direction at once. Here’s why that matters for investors holding physical silver today.

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The Buyer List for Gold Just Got Longer. These Countries Have Never Bought Before.
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Gold or Silver First? A First-Time Buyer’s Framework

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Latest News

Silver Has Two Engines. Stagflation Is the One Condition That Fires Both at Once.
News

Silver Has Two Engines. Stagflation Is the One Condition That Fires Both at Once.

Most assets have a simple relationship with stagflation. Silver doesn’t. It answers to two entirely separate demand pools — industrial and monetary — that in most macro environments pull against each other. Stagflation is the rare condition where both pull in the same direction at once. Here’s why that matters for investors holding physical silver today.

Read More »
The Buyer List for Gold Just Got Longer. These Countries Have Never Bought Before.
News

The Buyer List for Gold Just Got Longer. These Countries Have Never Bought Before.

Central banks purchased a net 244 tonnes of gold in Q1 2026 — and for the first time, the buyer list includes countries like Guatemala, Indonesia, Malaysia, Cambodia, Uganda, and Kenya. Some are buying gold for the first time in their institutional history. Others are returning after decades of absence. Here is what the world’s most sophisticated reserve managers are telling you by voting with their balance sheets.

Read More »

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