Gold continues to dominate commodities trading, reaching a peak of $3,500 per ounce in April and currently trading around $3,320. Investors are pouring money into gold-backed ETPs due to uncertainties surrounding Trump’s trade tariffs, economic policies, and global geopolitical risks. While JP Morgan projects gold to exceed $4,000 within a year, some analysts are growing cautious. LBBW expects prices to reach only $3,000 by year-end, citing increased mining supply and already high speculator positions. HSBC’s technical analyst warns that gold’s price has diverged significantly from its 200-week moving average, suggesting potential consolidation ahead.

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Is Gold at Fair Value? What Three Models Say — and Where They Disagree
Gold is up 43% in a year and recently hit an all-time high. So is the price justified — or has the rally overshot? Three analytical models give three different answers, and understanding where they agree and where they diverge is the key to judging gold’s true worth.





