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Goldman Sachs Forecasts Gold to Hit $3,300 in Late 2025

Goldman Sachs’ Daan Struyven, who leads global commodities research and heads oil research, shares insights on the ongoing gold rally.

We raise our end-2025 forecast to $3,300/toz (vs. $3,100) and our forecast rangeto $3,250-3,520, reflecting upside surprises in ETF inflows and in continued
strong central bank gold demand. While the uncertainty is large, we estimate that large Asian central bank buyers are likely to continue their rapid gold purchases for another 3-6 years to reach our estimated range of potential gold reserve targets. Our base case forecast assumes speculative positioning normalizes from current elevated levels (85th percentile), while the top end of our price range reflects persistently stretched positioning amid heightened uncertainty. Medium-term price risks remain skewed to the upside, and we illustrate how, in tail-risk scenarios, gold can exceed $4,200/toz by end-2025.

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Does Timing the Gold Market Work? Here’s What 56 Years of Data Shows
Videos

Does Timing the Gold Market Work? Here’s What 56 Years of Data Shows

Most investors try to avoid buying gold at the wrong time—but decades of data show that timing the gold market can quietly destroy returns. The vast majority of gold’s long-term gains come from just a handful of unpredictable trading days each year. Miss them, and performance collapses. This analysis reveals why staying invested—not timing entries and exits—is the only reliable way to capture gold’s full return potential.

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