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LBMA Shares Q1 Precious Metals Market Report

The London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) just released their Precious Metals Market Report: Q1 2025. Here are some of their findings:

– Gold and silver markets experienced significant growth in Q1 2025, with gold reaching unprecedented heights. Gold began the year at $2,644.60, still below its October 2024 record. After Donald Trump’s inauguration on January 20th, fears of new trade policies triggered a rush to build physical gold inventories in New York, with reports of 393 metric tonnes moving into Comex vaults – a 75% increase to levels not seen since 2022.

– This demand pressure created a brief premium for New York gold ($60 above London prices) and sparked rumors about London’s supply capabilities. Though London vaults showed a 2.41% decline through February, inventory levels stabilized and even increased slightly (0.14%) by quarter-end.

– The gold price climbed steadily from mid-January, reaching an all-time high of $3,120.20 on March 31st – representing a quarterly gain of 17.8%. This performance exceeded most analysts’ expectations, with Goldman Sachs revising year-end forecasts from $3,000 to $3,300, while Macquarie Bank suggested $3,500 might be possible in Q3.

– Silver posted a strong 15.52% gain in Q1, though lagging behind gold. Indian silver imports surged 37% year-over-year in January to 875 tonnes, the highest since 2008. Unlike gold, London silver vault holdings declined significantly, falling 14% from 827,544,000 oz to 711,396,000 oz during the quarter.

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Silver fell nearly 6% after May’s blowout jobs report sent rate hike odds to 67% and the 10-year Treasury to 4.54%. Gold dropped too — but only half as much. Here’s why: silver runs on two engines. The jobs report hit the monetary one hard. The industrial one — solar, EVs, AI infrastructure — didn’t flinch. And the World Silver Survey 2026 deficit of 46.3 million ounces? Unchanged. One Friday’s data moves prices. It doesn’t move ounces.

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