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Markets Surge as Core Inflation Cools; Rate Cut Hopes Revive

US markets surged across the board following December’s inflation report, which showed core CPI easing to 0.2% monthly growth after four consecutive months at 0.3%. The S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow all climbed approximately 1.5%, while Treasury yields tumbled and the dollar weakened against major currencies. While market sentiment improved significantly, with swap traders now pricing in a July rate cut, analysts remain cautious. Goldman Sachs Asset Management notes that while the data strengthens the case for eventual cuts, the strong labor market gives the Fed room to be patient. Morgan Stanley Wealth Management suggests that while a January rate cut remains unlikely, the data should quell recent speculation about potential rate increases. Principal Asset Management adds that consecutive soft inflation prints and weaker payroll data would be needed to put a March cut back on the table.

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The Bond King’s Golden Signal: Jeffrey Gundlach on Gold

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The Real Reason Gold Falls When Inflation Surges

April CPI hit 3.8% — and gold dropped. If that feels backwards, it should. Here’s the chain: hot inflation forced traders to reprice the Fed toward rate hikes, which lifted the dollar, which pressured gold. The short-term mechanics and the long-term case are two different things — and today is a perfect illustration of why.

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Latest News

US-China summit negotiators face each other across a conference table with Chinese and American flags — a moment that will shape gold and silver prices
News

5 Forces Shaping Gold and Silver at the Beijing Summit

Trump’s first Beijing visit since 2017 puts rare earth supply cuts, food inflation, China’s critical minerals grip, and a dangerously concentrated US stock market on the table simultaneously. Here’s the precious metals framework for what happens next.

Read More »
Stacked gold bars and scattered gold coins on a dark surface with a blurred financial chart and data table visible on a laptop screen in the background
News

The Real Reason Gold Falls When Inflation Surges

April CPI hit 3.8% — and gold dropped. If that feels backwards, it should. Here’s the chain: hot inflation forced traders to reprice the Fed toward rate hikes, which lifted the dollar, which pressured gold. The short-term mechanics and the long-term case are two different things — and today is a perfect illustration of why.

Read More »

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