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Rally Now, Crash Later? What Hedge Funds See Coming

Daily News Nuggets | Today’s top stories for gold and silver investors
September 25th, 2025 

 

Jobless Claims Drop Sharply, Complicating Fed’s Next Move 

New jobless claims fell to 218,000 last week — well below the 235,000 forecast — suggesting the labor market remains stronger than expected. Continuing claims also dipped to 1.7 million. Despite slowing economic momentum, employers are clearly reluctant to cut staff. Treasury yields rose and recession bets pulled back following the report. 

This resilient job market complicates the Fed’s rate-cutting calculus… 

Consumer Spending Powers Ahead Despite Labor Worries 

While job market indicators flash warning signs, Americans keep spending. Q2 GDP rose at a revised 3.8% annualized rate, driven by surprisingly strong consumption. Many households feel financially squeezed yet continue shopping — likely tapping savings or credit to maintain their lifestyle. 

What to watch: This disconnect can’t last forever. When job losses mount, consumer strength could evaporate quickly, potentially triggering a flight to safety. 

Hedge Fund Warns: Rally Could Accelerate Before Crash 

With U.S. stocks up 13% this year, Universa Investments sees an uncomfortable parallel to 1929. The “black swan” fund warns markets could surge another 20% before a devastating correction — classic blow-off top behavior where euphoria precedes collapse. 

History shows sharp late-stage rallies often end badly. Smart investors know this is precisely when portfolio insurance matters most. The time to protect your portfolio isn’t when everything is crashing. You have to be proactive before there’s panic in the streets. 

U.S. Considers $20B Lifeline for Argentina 

After years of runaway inflation and repeated debt crises, Argentina may soon receive a $20 billion aid package from Washington. Talks are reportedly underway as the country struggles with triple-digit price increases, a battered peso, and dwindling reserves. For the U.S., the move would be as much geopolitical as financial, aimed at stabilizing a key regional economy. 

Argentina’s ongoing crisis is a textbook case of fiat currency failure under inflationary pressure — a reminder of why investors worldwide continue turning to hard assets like gold. 

Cheers! Gold Buys More Beer Than Ever at Oktoberfest 

Munich’s Oktoberfest is pricier again this year, with a Maß of beer now EUR 15.80. But measured in gold, the story flips. Incrementum’s 2025 Gold/Oktoberfest Beer Ratio shows one ounce of gold now covers 186 Maß, up 26% from last year and over 50% since 2023.  

While cash holders feel the pinch of inflation at every purchase, gold maintains its purchasing power. At Oktoberfest 2025, it buys more beer than ever — proof that real money beats paper promises. 

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News

Gold and Silver Hit Records Amid Shutdown Stalemate

Gold set new records near $4,240 while silver hovers just below all-time highs. Trade tensions with China, a U.S. government shutdown, India’s festival demand shift, and a proposed $40B U.S. backstop for Argentina are keeping risk on edge — and the safe-haven bid alive. Here’s what matters for prices, policy, and positioning today.

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Global Silver Shortage: Why the Physical Price Is Breaking Away From Paper
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Few times in history has the silver market looked like this.  In the latest episode of The GoldSilver Show, Mike Maloney and Alan Hibbard unpack an extraordinary squeeze that’s pushing the physical and paper markets in completely different directions — and it’s happening fast.  Lease Rates Explode: A Market Under Stress  Silver lease rates — the cost of borrowing silver for short trades — have rocketed to over 33%, a level almost never seen.  Under normal conditions, those rates hover near zero. A 33% spike signals something deeper: a market starved of liquidity.  For short sellers, this is a nightmare.

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5 Key Drivers Behind the Gold & Silver Price Rally
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5 Key Drivers Behind the Gold & Silver Price Rally

Precious metals have taken center stage in global markets, with gold recently surpassing $4,100 per ounce and silver climbing above $51, marking their highest levels on record. This surge has captured investor attention worldwide, underscoring the renewed demand for tangible assets amid rising economic uncertainty. Understanding what’s fueling this gold and silver price rally is essential for investors seeking to navigate a volatile world. From Federal Reserve policy shifts to the return of inflation and the rise of central bank demand, here are the five core forces propelling gold and silver higher in 2025 — and why they matter for

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News

Gold and Silver Hit Records Amid Shutdown Stalemate

Gold set new records near $4,240 while silver hovers just below all-time highs. Trade tensions with China, a U.S. government shutdown, India’s festival demand shift, and a proposed $40B U.S. backstop for Argentina are keeping risk on edge — and the safe-haven bid alive. Here’s what matters for prices, policy, and positioning today.

Read More »
Global Silver Shortage: Why the Physical Price Is Breaking Away From Paper
Videos

Global Silver Shortage: Why the Physical Price Is Breaking Away From Paper

Few times in history has the silver market looked like this.  In the latest episode of The GoldSilver Show, Mike Maloney and Alan Hibbard unpack an extraordinary squeeze that’s pushing the physical and paper markets in completely different directions — and it’s happening fast.  Lease Rates Explode: A Market Under Stress  Silver lease rates — the cost of borrowing silver for short trades — have rocketed to over 33%, a level almost never seen.  Under normal conditions, those rates hover near zero. A 33% spike signals something deeper: a market starved of liquidity.  For short sellers, this is a nightmare.

Read More »

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