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Rally Now, Crash Later? What Hedge Funds See Coming

Daily News Nuggets | Today’s top stories for gold and silver investors
September 25th, 2025 

 

Jobless Claims Drop Sharply, Complicating Fed’s Next Move 

New jobless claims fell to 218,000 last week — well below the 235,000 forecast — suggesting the labor market remains stronger than expected. Continuing claims also dipped to 1.7 million. Despite slowing economic momentum, employers are clearly reluctant to cut staff. Treasury yields rose and recession bets pulled back following the report. 

This resilient job market complicates the Fed’s rate-cutting calculus… 

Consumer Spending Powers Ahead Despite Labor Worries 

While job market indicators flash warning signs, Americans keep spending. Q2 GDP rose at a revised 3.8% annualized rate, driven by surprisingly strong consumption. Many households feel financially squeezed yet continue shopping — likely tapping savings or credit to maintain their lifestyle. 

What to watch: This disconnect can’t last forever. When job losses mount, consumer strength could evaporate quickly, potentially triggering a flight to safety. 

Hedge Fund Warns: Rally Could Accelerate Before Crash 

With U.S. stocks up 13% this year, Universa Investments sees an uncomfortable parallel to 1929. The “black swan” fund warns markets could surge another 20% before a devastating correction — classic blow-off top behavior where euphoria precedes collapse. 

History shows sharp late-stage rallies often end badly. Smart investors know this is precisely when portfolio insurance matters most. The time to protect your portfolio isn’t when everything is crashing. You have to be proactive before there’s panic in the streets. 

U.S. Considers $20B Lifeline for Argentina 

After years of runaway inflation and repeated debt crises, Argentina may soon receive a $20 billion aid package from Washington. Talks are reportedly underway as the country struggles with triple-digit price increases, a battered peso, and dwindling reserves. For the U.S., the move would be as much geopolitical as financial, aimed at stabilizing a key regional economy. 

Argentina’s ongoing crisis is a textbook case of fiat currency failure under inflationary pressure — a reminder of why investors worldwide continue turning to hard assets like gold. 

Cheers! Gold Buys More Beer Than Ever at Oktoberfest 

Munich’s Oktoberfest is pricier again this year, with a Maß of beer now EUR 15.80. But measured in gold, the story flips. Incrementum’s 2025 Gold/Oktoberfest Beer Ratio shows one ounce of gold now covers 186 Maß, up 26% from last year and over 50% since 2023.  

While cash holders feel the pinch of inflation at every purchase, gold maintains its purchasing power. At Oktoberfest 2025, it buys more beer than ever — proof that real money beats paper promises. 

Investing in Physical Metals Made Easy

 

Silver’s Bull Run Didn’t Break — The CME Did
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Silver’s Bull Run Didn’t Break — The CME Did

Silver’s rally didn’t break — the CME did. As trading halted across major markets, silver kept surging, breaking out above prior highs despite margin hikes. With confidence in fiat eroding and price signals returning, this move mirrors the explosive setup of the late 1970s. Silver may be leading the next major monetary shift.

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London Gold Fixing: Key Factors That Influence Global Gold Prices
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London Gold Fixing: Key Factors That Influence Global Gold Prices

For more than a century, the London Gold Fixing—now the LBMA Gold Price—has set the benchmark that guides global gold transactions. Today’s transparent, twice-daily electronic auctions reflect real-time supply and demand, shaped by central bank policies, inflation, currency movements, geopolitics, and physical market fundamentals. Understanding these forces helps investors interpret price movements and make more informed decisions in the precious metals market.

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Gold Climbs as Fed Chair Uncertainty Builds

Gold pushed higher overnight as traders priced in faster Fed easing and Treasury yields retreated. But the bigger story: with Jerome Powell’s term ending in early 2026, uncertainty over Fed leadership is mounting. From Kevin Hassett’s pitch to a shortlist of five candidates, the race to lead the Federal Reserve is injecting volatility into markets — and gold is benefiting.

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Latest News

Silver’s Bull Run Didn’t Break — The CME Did
Videos

Silver’s Bull Run Didn’t Break — The CME Did

Silver’s rally didn’t break — the CME did. As trading halted across major markets, silver kept surging, breaking out above prior highs despite margin hikes. With confidence in fiat eroding and price signals returning, this move mirrors the explosive setup of the late 1970s. Silver may be leading the next major monetary shift.

Read More »
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Gold Climbs as Fed Chair Uncertainty Builds

Gold pushed higher overnight as traders priced in faster Fed easing and Treasury yields retreated. But the bigger story: with Jerome Powell’s term ending in early 2026, uncertainty over Fed leadership is mounting. From Kevin Hassett’s pitch to a shortlist of five candidates, the race to lead the Federal Reserve is injecting volatility into markets — and gold is benefiting.

Read More »

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