Although the U.S. economy has avoided a technical recession so far, signs of potential trouble persist.
GDP has slowed, consumer spending is under scrutiny, and employment growth is uneven. Inflation and interest rates are closely monitored, as persistent high inflation may curb consumer spending and force the Fed to act.
The yield curve remains a crucial signal, with inversions hinting at possible recessions. Stock market performance is also a barometer of confidence.
While these indicators can’t predict the exact timing or severity of a downturn, they offer valuable clues about the economy’s direction.