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Reuters Poll: Flight to Safety Lifts Gold and Silver Price Forecasts

A Reuters poll of 40 analysts and traders predicts gold will stay historically high as investors seek safety amid global trade tensions and rising U.S. debt. The median forecast places gold at about $3,220 per ounce in 2025 and $3,400 in 2026, up sharply from previous estimates.

Spot gold has gained roughly 27% this year and briefly hit $3,500/oz in April when U.S.–China trade hostilities intensified. Analysts such as David Russell of GoldCore view gold as a signal of fiscal fears and see $4,000/oz as plausible by late 2026 if U.S. debt concerns deepen.

Rising central‑bank demand, especially from China, and diversification away from the U.S. dollar underpin the rally. Silver has also benefited; it is up about 32% this year and forecast to average $34.5 in 2025 and $38 in 2026.

Original Source: Reuters

Central bank committee room with one empty chair at the table — what PCE at 3.5% means for gold investors as four central banks hold rates amid stagflation signals
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PCE at 3.5%, GDP Miss: Why This Is Bullish for Gold

PCE inflation hit 3.5% in March — the highest since May 2023 — while Q1 GDP grew just 2.0%, missing the 2.2% forecast. Four central banks held rates the same morning, with two signalling they discussed hikes. When growth slows and inflation stays hot, the Fed is trapped. That trap has historically been the strongest environment for physical gold and silver.

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April 30, 2026

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Central bank committee room with one empty chair at the table — what PCE at 3.5% means for gold investors as four central banks hold rates amid stagflation signals
News

PCE at 3.5%, GDP Miss: Why This Is Bullish for Gold

PCE inflation hit 3.5% in March — the highest since May 2023 — while Q1 GDP grew just 2.0%, missing the 2.2% forecast. Four central banks held rates the same morning, with two signalling they discussed hikes. When growth slows and inflation stays hot, the Fed is trapped. That trap has historically been the strongest environment for physical gold and silver.

Read More »
April 30, 2026
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