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State Street Predicts 19% Gold Surge to $4,000 Amid Trump Trade Wars

Gold prices continue their remarkable ascent, climbing 2% this week to $3,357 per ounce, with State Street Global Advisors forecasting a potential surge to $4,000 within the next six to nine months. The asset management firm’s Gold 2025 Midyear Outlook suggests even more dramatic gains ahead, with prices possibly testing $5,000 per ounce over the next 12-24 months.

According to Aakash Doshi, State Street’s head of gold strategy, four key factors are propelling gold’s appreciation: market volatility stemming from Trump’s trade policies, concerns over U.S. debt levels, dollar weakness, and sustained central bank gold purchases. The precious metal has gained an impressive 98% since the WHO declared the coronavirus pandemic in March 2020, with a 25% rise in 2025 alone.

As economic uncertainty persists—including questions about inflation, the $36.2 trillion U.S. deficit, and geopolitical tensions—investors are increasingly viewing gold as a portfolio diversifier and hedge against tail risks. Gold’s appeal lies in its unique characteristics: it carries no counterparty risk, doesn’t depend on repayment, and doesn’t need to generate yield to justify its portfolio role.

What Are Margin Requirements? Why CME’s Hike Triggered a Silver Crash
Articles

What Are Margin Requirements? Why CME’s Hike Triggered a Silver Crash

CME’s margin requirements silver hike played a central role in the dramatic collapse from $120 to the $70s in early 2026. After a historic rally fueled by leverage and speculation, the exchange raised margins from 15% to 18%, forcing traders to post more capital or liquidate positions. The result: cascading selloffs, amplified volatility, and a textbook example of how leverage can accelerate both gains and losses in precious metals markets.

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COMEX Default in March? The Truth Behind the Silver Shortage Claims
Videos

COMEX Default in March? The Truth Behind the Silver Shortage Claims

Is a COMEX Silver Default in March really looming? With 400 million ounces of open interest and only 100 million ounces registered, headlines suggest a breaking point. But the math behind the panic misunderstands how futures delivery actually works. Here’s what investors need to know about open interest, delivery mechanics, and the real probability of a COMEX default.

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COMEX Default in March? The Truth Behind the Silver Shortage Claims
Videos

COMEX Default in March? The Truth Behind the Silver Shortage Claims

Is a COMEX Silver Default in March really looming? With 400 million ounces of open interest and only 100 million ounces registered, headlines suggest a breaking point. But the math behind the panic misunderstands how futures delivery actually works. Here’s what investors need to know about open interest, delivery mechanics, and the real probability of a COMEX default.

Read More »

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