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Strong Employment Data Pushes 10-Year Treasury Yield Above 4.34%

Treasury yields across the board climbed Thursday following a stronger-than-expected June jobs report that showed resilience in the U.S. labor market. The benchmark 10-year yield increased more than 5 basis points to 4.344%, with the 2-year yield seeing the largest move at about 10 basis points to 3.888%.

The positive employment data – 147,000 jobs added versus 110,000 expected and unemployment falling to 4.1% – contrasted sharply with Wednesday’s weak ADP report showing private sector job losses. This labor market strength may give the Federal Reserve room to keep interest rates unchanged at their upcoming July meeting.

Additionally, investors are monitoring fiscal developments including a major spending bill expected to add $3.3 trillion to the deficit, and new trade tariffs with Vietnam.

Gold bars stacked on US Treasury yield schedule and debt documents showing the tension between gold and government debt in 2026
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Gold Is Up 41% From a Year Ago. The Fed Can’t Stop It

Gold is trading at $4,648/oz — up 41% from a year ago, down 14% from January’s record. Both numbers are true. The one that matters is the 41%. It held through a war, three hawkish Fed holds, and the most fractured FOMC vote since 1992. Here’s why that gap between the record and today’s price is a floor, not a warning.

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Gold bar in front of a laptop displaying CPI and inflation charts — illustrating the gold inflation paradox
Articles

The Gold Inflation Paradox Most Investors Miss

Gold fell around 15% from its all-time high while inflation hit a nearly 3-year peak. The inflation-hedge narrative isn’t wrong — it’s incomplete. Here’s what the data really shows about gold and rising prices.

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Gold bars stacked on US Treasury yield schedule and debt documents showing the tension between gold and government debt in 2026
News

Gold Is Up 41% From a Year Ago. The Fed Can’t Stop It

Gold is trading at $4,648/oz — up 41% from a year ago, down 14% from January’s record. Both numbers are true. The one that matters is the 41%. It held through a war, three hawkish Fed holds, and the most fractured FOMC vote since 1992. Here’s why that gap between the record and today’s price is a floor, not a warning.

Read More »

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