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Trump Tariffs and European Growth Push Dollar to Worst Decline Since 2002

The US dollar is on track for its biggest two-month decline since 2002, falling 7.7% during March and April 2025.

Two key factors drove this decline: Germany’s decision to end decades of austerity with increased public spending (boosting euro area growth expectations), and President Trump’s tariff announcements triggering a flight to safe-haven currencies like the yen, Swiss franc, and euro.

Despite edging up 0.25% on Tuesday following reports that the Trump administration might soften planned tariffs, the dollar remains under pressure. Deutsche Bank notes that foreign investors are staging a “buyers’ strike” on US assets despite recovering prices. The euro, though down 0.38% on Tuesday at $1.1379, is still on course for its largest monthly gain against the dollar in over two years.

Analysts suggest the euro-dollar could reach 1.20-1.25, while the yen may strengthen further if global economic slowdown forces major central banks to implement deeper rate cuts.

gold silver prices ceasefire
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Gold, Silver Swing as Ceasefire Cracks

The US-Iran ceasefire is barely holding. Gold closed at $4,768 and silver at $75.60 after wild swings. Oil snapped back above $100 as Iran still controls the Strait. FOMC minutes revealed growing inflation fears and a hawkish shift. Here’s your PM roundup.

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How to Spot Fake Gold and Silver: Authentication, Tests, and Red Flags
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How to Spot Fake Gold and Silver: Authentication, Tests, and Red Flags 

Counterfeiting precious metals is as old as money itself. Knowing how to spot fake gold starts with understanding how fakes are made.   In September 2012, Manhattan dealer Ibrahim Fadl paid $100,000 for four 10-ounce PAMP Suisse gold bars. He drilled into them after a colleague’s tip — and found tungsten [NBC News]. The bars had already passed X-ray fluorescence testing and a scale check. With gold near all-time highs, the incentive for this kind of fraud has never been greater.  The good news: most fakes can be caught before money changes hands. This guide covers how counterfeits are made, which tests work, what

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gold silver prices ceasefire
News

Gold, Silver Swing as Ceasefire Cracks

The US-Iran ceasefire is barely holding. Gold closed at $4,768 and silver at $75.60 after wild swings. Oil snapped back above $100 as Iran still controls the Strait. FOMC minutes revealed growing inflation fears and a hawkish shift. Here’s your PM roundup.

Read More »

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