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US Inflation Surges at Fastest Rate Since 2023, Challenging Fed’s Rate Cut Plans

US consumer prices rose 0.5% in January, marking the largest increase in nearly 18 months.

The year-over-year inflation rate reached 3.0%, exceeding economists’ expectations of 2.9%. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.4% monthly and 3.3% annually.

This stronger-than-expected inflation report has complicating implications for monetary policy. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged that the central bank is “not quite there yet” in its mission to bring inflation down to 2%.

The data, combined with a stable labor market, has led some economists to question whether the Fed’s easing cycle might be over, with the policy rate currently held at 4.25%-4.50%. The report also raises concerns about the potential inflationary impact of proposed tariff policies and their effect on consumer prices going forward.

Bank of America gold forecast research report showing gold price chart with $6,000 target, held by analyst at conference table
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Bank of America’s $6,000 Gold Forecast Isn’t a Price Call. It’s a System Call.

Bank of America has set a $6,000 gold price target for 2026. But the more important question isn’t whether gold gets there — it’s what the forecast reveals about the monetary system. The thesis rests on U.S. fiscal deterioration, record central bank buying, and a private investor base that’s barely started buying. Here’s what that means for anyone holding physical gold.

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Gold Won’t Break. The Fed Just Told You Why.

The Fed just released its most hawkish minutes in over a decade. December rate hike odds hit 40%. The dollar surged. Gold barely moved. That non-reaction is not confusion — it’s the market pricing a structural ceiling on how far this Fed can actually tighten. Here’s the mechanism behind it.

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Kevin Warsh Wants to Fix the Fed. The Math Says He Can’t.

Kevin Warsh arrived at the Fed with a bold agenda — shrink the balance sheet, normalize policy, restore credibility. But with $6.7 trillion in assets, global bond yields at multi-decade highs, and markets pricing in rate hikes instead of cuts, the math is working against him. Alan breaks down why the plan may be dead on arrival and what it means for gold.

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Gold bars stacked in front of a financial trading screen showing market price data — gold price holds steady despite Fed rate hike signal
News

Gold Won’t Break. The Fed Just Told You Why.

The Fed just released its most hawkish minutes in over a decade. December rate hike odds hit 40%. The dollar surged. Gold barely moved. That non-reaction is not confusion — it’s the market pricing a structural ceiling on how far this Fed can actually tighten. Here’s the mechanism behind it.

Read More »
Kevin Warsh Wants to Fix the Fed. The Math Says He Can't.
Videos

Kevin Warsh Wants to Fix the Fed. The Math Says He Can’t.

Kevin Warsh arrived at the Fed with a bold agenda — shrink the balance sheet, normalize policy, restore credibility. But with $6.7 trillion in assets, global bond yields at multi-decade highs, and markets pricing in rate hikes instead of cuts, the math is working against him. Alan breaks down why the plan may be dead on arrival and what it means for gold.

Read More »

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