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Gold prices have achieved their tenth record high this year, climbing to $2,954.69 per ounce as investors react to President Trump’s latest trade threats and geopolitical tensions. The precious metal’s 12% rise in 2024 reflects growing market anxiety over potential new tariffs on multiple sectors, including lumber, automobiles, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals. Analysts view the $3,000 mark as an inevitable milestone, with the current $2,950 level representing the last technical resistance.

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Inflation concerns are resurging in America after January’s core consumer price index jumped to a 5.5% annualized rate. This concerning development comes amid President Trump’s proposed tariff policies, which could further fuel price pressures. Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers has raised alarm bells, comparing the current situation to the early Biden administration period when inflation reached its highest level in 40 years. While Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s announcements typically draw significant market attention, the focus has shifted to how Trump’s policies might impact price stability and monetary policy.

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Goldfutures continue their remarkable winning streak, marking their eighth consecutive week of rising prices. During this run, gold has broken its all-time high record four weeks in a row, reaching levels never seen before. According to analyst Bob Iaccino, two main factors are driving this historic rally: a weaker U.S. dollar, which typically boosts gold prices, and increased safe-haven buying as investors look to protect their wealth from market risks. This is gold’s strongest performance since August 2020, highlighting growing investor confidence in the precious metal as a safe store of value.

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Written by: The MacroButler Savvy investors who have thoroughly studied the business cycle, the impact of monetary illusion on it, and its effects on asset allocation within the Permanent Browne portfolio should by now understand that in an inflationary environment, they should own only properties and avoid contracts. Experienced investors understand that equities are relatively straightforward to value using methods like Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Book (P/B), and Dividend Discount Model (DDM). Other key metrics, such as EV/EBITDA, Price-to-Sales (P/S), Free Cash Flow (FCF) Yield, and the PEG ratio, provide additional insights. Comparative valuation, industry trends, and broader...

China’s gold market started 2025 strongly, with significant price gains in both London and Shanghai markets despite fewer trading days due to Chinese New Year. While the People’s Bank of China added another 5 tonnes to its reserves in January, reaching 2,285 tonnes, Chinese gold ETFs saw their first outflow in months. The surge in gold prices has impacted jewelry demand, though investment demand remains robust amid geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns.

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Gold is holding steady near historic levels as multiple factors reinforce its haven appeal. The precious metal, trading over $2,940 an ounce, has been bolstered by President Trump’s latest announcement of 25% tariffs on automobiles, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals. Adding to the momentum are geopolitical tensions sparked by U.S.-led Ukraine peace initiatives and sustained central bank buying. After surging more than 25% in 2024, gold’s outlook remains bullish. Goldman Sachs has upgraded its year-end forecast to $3,100, suggesting prices could even reach $3,300 if economic policy uncertainty continues. Meanwhile, silver is also performing well, up 14% this year to around $33...

Fed Takes Conservative Stance on 2025 Rate Cuts

Markets are predicting a notably quiet year for Federal Reserve policy in 2025, with only an 18.3% chance of no rate changes and a 36.6% chance of just one quarter-point cut. After implementing three rate cuts in 2024, the Fed has hit pause as it carefully monitors inflation trends and potential policy impacts. According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, there’s only an 18.3% chance of rates remaining unchanged through December 2025, and a 36.6% chance of a single quarter-point cut. The situation is complicated by two key factors: potential seasonal adjustment issues in January’s inflation data and President Trump’s proposed...

The UK’s inflation rate rose sharply to 3% in January 2024, surpassing market expectations and reaching its highest level since March 2023. The increase was primarily driven by three key factors: the introduction of 20% VAT on private school fees causing a nearly 13% price rise, higher food and non-alcoholic drink prices particularly affecting meat, bread, and cereals, and unusually modest declines in air fares during the post-holiday period. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, also increased significantly from 3.2% to 3.7%. While this represents a setback for consumers, the Bank of England, which has cut interest...

President Trump has announced plans to impose 25% tariffs on imported cars, pharmaceuticals, and semiconductors, with potential increases later in the year. The automotive tariffs could be finalized by April 2, while tariffs on chips and drugs may increase “substantially higher” throughout the year. This move follows Trump’s existing 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum, and a 10% levy on Chinese imports. The timing is particularly significant as it coincides with the arrival of EU trade officials in Washington for negotiations, with Trump specifically criticizing the EU’s trade practices, claiming they “don’t take our cars” and maintain unfair trade barriers....

President Trump has issued an executive order requiring independent federal agencies like the SEC and FTC to submit their draft regulations for White House review and consult on priorities. While exempting the Fed’s monetary policy decisions, the order aims to increase presidential oversight over traditionally independent regulators, potentially setting up legal challenges. The move represents Trump’s latest effort to exert more control over federal agencies.

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