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Atlanta Fed Forecasts Recession | Projects a 2.8% GDP Contraction in Q1 25

DataTrek Research warns that the VIX “fear gauge” staying elevated could signal an approaching bear market. Co-founder Nicholas Colas is concerned that the VIX’s 30-day average of 21.4 has remained above its historical average of 19.5 for 12 straight days. While the VIX typically runs above 19.5 during bear markets and below during bull markets, Colas notes that brief spikes to higher levels (27.3 or 35.1) often create buying opportunities that lead to rallies. Paradoxically, Colas suggests a quick spike to extreme levels might benefit markets more than persistent moderate elevation, as dramatic volatility typically triggers helpful policy responses. The...

GOLD Gold has broken out to all-time highs—above $3,000 per ounce—driven by demand from central banks and Asian buying. Further upside is possible as North American investors, who have been sitting on the sidelines, decide to participate. SILVER We believe silver’s dual role as a precious and industrial metal make it uniquely attractive; heavily used in industries like electronics, solar energy and electric vehicles (EVs); currently undervalued relative to gold. “I think we’re in a long-term bull market* in Gold. We’re seeing reserve accumulation by central banks. I follow it closely. It’s my biggest position.” – Scott Bessent, U.S. Secretary...

The massive flow of gold and silver into the US has abruptly ended following exemptions to Donald Trump’s tariffs on precious metals. For months, fears of potential tariffs created unusually high price premiums in New York compared to global markets, incentivizing traders to ship over $80 billion worth of bullion to the US. This arbitrage opportunity distorted US trade data, even contributing to a record trade deficit in January. After the exemption announcement, price differentials collapsed immediately – the gap between US and London gold prices dropped from $62 to $23 per ounce, while silver’s premium fell from over $1...

The euro surged 2.2% against the dollar on Thursday to a six-month high of $1.1021—its strongest single-day gain since December 2015. This reaction followed President Trump’s announcement of tougher-than-expected tariffs, including a 10% baseline on all US imports with higher rates for certain trading partners. Investors fled the dollar for safe haven currencies, pushing the Japanese yen and Swiss franc to six-month highs against the greenback, while the British pound rose 1.3%. The announcement rattled global markets, causing stocks to fall as investors moved toward bonds and gold. Deutsche Bank warned of a potential “crisis of confidence” in the US...

The White House announced that steel, aluminum, gold, and other metals will be exempt from the newly implemented “reciprocal” tariffs. This decision relieves domestic buyers and demonstrates caution in sectors where the US heavily depends on imports. A White House official indicated that critical minerals of strategic value could still face tariff investigations under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act. The US depends on imports for many metals where China controls the supply chain – including 80% of rare earths, about 75% of zinc and tin, and over 50% of lithium. So far, China has responded to US trade...

Gold prices dipped by 0.5% to $3,119.09 on Thursday after reaching a record high of $3,167.57 earlier in the day, following President Trump’s announcement of sweeping import tariffs. Despite this pause, gold has gained 19% in 2025, supported by economic uncertainties, geopolitical tensions, central bank purchases, and increased investment in gold-backed ETFs. While Trump’s new tariffs have sent global markets tumbling over growth and inflation concerns, they notably exclude gold, copper, energy, and certain minerals not available in the United States.

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Gold briefly touched a record high of $3,167.84 on Thursday before reversing course amid market turmoil triggered by President Trump’s announcement of extensive “reciprocal” tariffs. While initially climbing 1.1%, gold later fell 0.3% to $3,125.09 as investors sold assets across markets to raise cash. Trump’s tariff announcement, which includes a 54% rate on Chinese imports and 20% on EU goods, sparked significant selloffs in equity markets throughout Asia and Europe. Gold’s 20% rise this year has been fueled by central bank purchases and strong Asian demand, with analysts at Deutsche Bank expecting these trends to continue. Gold itself was exempted...

Could a Short Squeeze Send Silver $75?
What if I told you that there’s nearly 5.5 traders are all competing for the same ounce of silver? In today’s video, Mike exposes the critical disconnect between paper claims and actual metal, revealing an unprecedented 20x increase in short selling this year alone....

President Trump unveiled a comprehensive new tariff strategy that combines a universal 10% tax on all imported products with additional “reciprocal” levies targeting specific trading partners. China will face the steepest total tariffs at 54% (a new 34% levy on top of an existing 20% duty), while the European Union will be charged 20% and Japan 24%. Trump described these as approximately half of what these nations charge the US. The baseline 10% tariff takes effect Saturday at 12:01 a.m. Eastern, with the reciprocal tariffs following on April 9. Additionally, goods compliant with the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement will continue receiving preferential...

President Trump unveiled a comprehensive new tariff strategy that combines a universal 10% tax on all imported products with additional “reciprocal” levies targeting specific trading partners. China will face the steepest total tariffs at 54% (a new 34% levy on top of an existing 20% duty), while the European Union will be charged 20% and Japan 24%. Trump described these as approximately half of what these nations charge the US. The baseline 10% tariff takes effect Saturday at 12:01 a.m. Eastern, with the reciprocal tariffs following on April 9. Additionally, goods compliant with the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement will continue receiving preferential...

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