Two Investors Ran the Debt Math Separately. Both Landed on 15% Gold.

Ray Dalio’s August 21 post cited an $11 trillion debt-service figure behind his call to hold 10-15% of a portfolio in gold. Days later, gold-app CEO David McAlvany independently reached a strikingly similar conclusion — and neither man sizes bitcoin anywhere close to gold.
The Long Bond Hit a 19-Year High. Inflation Expectations Didn’t Move.

The 30-year Treasury yield hit a 19-year high while inflation expectations barely moved. That gap explains why gold fell 1.1%, and why the reason it fell strengthens the long-term case.
US Treasury Yields Jump as Hot Jobs Data Fuels Rate Expectations

US Treasury yields climbed on Friday after new jobs data showed stronger hiring than expected. The 10-year yield rose over 9 basis points to 4.486%, while the 2-year increased 11 basis points to 4.034%. The 30-year yield moved up more than 5 basis points to 4.941%. Higher yields typically suggest investors anticipate tighter monetary policy, potentially due to inflation risks or stronger economic activity. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 139,000 jobs in May, surpassing the consensus forecast of 125,000 from economists polled by Dow Jones, according to data released Friday morning. The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2%. This stronger-than-expected jobs […]
