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PCE Hit 4.1%. Gold Went Up. Here’s Why.

A 1000g fine gold bullion bar resting on a Personal Consumption Expenditures report showing PCE inflation at 4.1% — illustrating why gold went up today despite elevated inflation data.

The government confirmed inflation hit a three-year high. Gold went up anyway. Here’s the mechanism most investors miss — and what it means if you hold physical gold.

298 Tonnes of ETF Gold Is Underwater. Central Banks Aren’t.

Hands in business attire holding a 999.9 fine gold bar on a trading floor, illustrating the divergence between gold ETF outflows and central bank gold buying in 2026

Approximately 298 tonnes of gold inside ETFs is currently held at a loss at current price levels — a structural ceiling on any near-term recovery. At the same time, the WGC’s 2026 survey found a record 45% of central banks plan to add to their reserves. Two markets. One metal. Very different time horizons.

Half the Fed Wants a Hike. 45% of Central Banks Are Buying More Gold.

Stack of gold coins standing still on a dark reflective surface as ripples spread outward, illustrating how Fed rate hike gold pressure creates short-term waves without moving the structural floor.

The Fed’s June 2026 dot plot split the committee down the middle on rate hikes, the dollar surged to its highest since May 2025, and silver posted its sharpest drop in weeks before recovering nearly 70% of the loss. The same week, the World Gold Council reported a record 45% of central banks plan to add gold. The headwinds are real. So is the floor.

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