Hot PCE, Stalling Growth, and an Oil Crisis That Isn’t Over 

PCE inflation came in at 2.8% year-over-year in February — above the 2.6% forecast and unchanged from January. Combined with near-stalled Q4 GDP growth and an unresolved energy crisis, today’s data paints a complicated picture for the Fed and a familiar one for gold.

The Fed Is Stuck. Here’s What That Means for Gold.

Iran’s parliamentary speaker says the U.S. violated the ceasefire within hours. Fed minutes show policymakers split on cuts vs. hikes. And gold has historically moved when the Fed can’t signal its next step — a pattern playing out right now.

How Does the Federal Reserve Actually Create Money? 

Most people assume money is printed at a mint and backed by something real. The truth is stranger. The U.S. dollar is created through debt, multiplied through bank lending, and sustained by collective agreement. Here’s how the system actually works.

War Risk, Stagflation Signals, and a $6,300 Gold Target 

Iran’s 8PM deadline looms, oil is above $100, and March jobs data quietly revised away 400,000 positions. JPMorgan sees a buying signal in miners. China just hit an 8-year silver import high. The macro picture is moving fast.

Gold and Oil Brace for the Strait of Hormuz Deadline 

Tonight’s Strait of Hormuz deadline puts gold, oil, and markets at a crossroads. WTI is above $110, gold is holding near $4,665, and analysts say a ceasefire deal before 8 PM ET remains unlikely. Here’s what each outcome means for investors.

What’s Driving Gold and Silver Prices This Week 

Gold and silver whipsawed on conflicting ceasefire signals as Trump paused Iran strikes and Tehran denied any talks. Meanwhile, gas crossed $4 for the first time since 2022 — and Friday’s CPI print could reset inflation expectations.

Iran War Deadline Puts Gold and Silver Prices on Edge 

Gold dropped to $4,600 before recovering. Silver bounced from $71 to $73. Meanwhile, Jamie Dimon named the Iran war as his top economic risk, Powell called job growth “effectively zero,” and markets braced for Tuesday’s Hormuz deadline.

What Is Velocity of Currency — and Why It Matters

The Fed has created trillions in new currency. So why doesn’t inflation always follow immediately? The answer is velocity — and understanding it changes everything about how you read today’s economic headlines.

Why Is Gold Falling When the World Is on Fire?

Why is gold falling when the world is on fire? This piece breaks down the five forces behind the selloff: Iran’s oil shock, the March jobs surprise, the Fed’s stagflation trap, Goldman’s $5,400 gold thesis, and whether the safe-haven story is broken or just deferred.

The Stagflation 2026 Warning Hidden in Today’s Data

Stagflation 2026 risks intensified Wednesday as oil surged past $111, manufacturing prices hit their highest level since June 2022, and U.S. hiring fell to its weakest point since the COVID shutdowns. The Fed has no clean way out.