Silver Round-Tripped a 6.8% Shock in Nine Days. Real Yields Did It, Not Inflation.

Silver closed at $67.28 on September 9, before a drone strike shut Saudi Arabia’s largest oil pipeline. Nine days and one Fed hike later, it is almost back. Most coverage credits fading inflation fear. The Federal Reserve’s own data disagrees: breakevens fell while real yields rose 22 basis points.

Iran Hit a Tanker in Hormuz and Trump Threatened Iran. Oil Isn’t Reacting.

Iran hit a tanker in the Strait of Hormuz and Trump weighed a big decision on Iran, yet oil barely moved. Here’s the real-yield mechanism behind gold and silver’s muted reaction today.

Rates Just Went Up Twice. Five Reasons Gold Didn’t Care.

Two central banks hiked rates this week, and gold barely blinked. Five fresh signals — from Goldman’s models to a $4 billion sovereign gold shipment — show why institutional and sovereign money isn’t buying the bearish case.

The Bank of Japan Just Hiked to a 31-Year High. Gold Barely Noticed.

Three central banks moved three different directions this week, and gold barely blinked at the biggest one. Here’s the yen carry-trade mechanism behind Japan’s quietest 31-year-high rate hike, and why this time was different from 2024’s disorderly unwind.

The Fed Hiked. The Bank of England Held. They Landed on the Same Rate.

The Fed raised rates for the first time since 2023. The Bank of England held. By the end of the week, both central banks had landed on exactly the same number, for very different reasons, and gold and silver noticed.

Who Owns US Debt? Central Banks Own Less Than You Think

Foreign central banks’ share of foreign-held US Treasuries has fallen from two-thirds in 2014 to 41% today. But their dollar holdings barely dropped. The market around them tripled instead, and the gap was filled by leveraged private trades, not other governments. Here’s the mechanism, and where the real reserve money went.

Gold and Silver Rip Higher as the Fed-Hike Selloff Reverses

Gold and silver are ripping higher Thursday, clawing back Wednesday’s Fed-hike selloff as a Saudi pipeline outage eases and Treasury yields pull back. Silver’s gain is running well ahead of gold’s.

1980’s Misery Index Hit 22. Here’s Where We Actually Stand Today.

The 1970s misery index peaked at 22. Today’s number is a fraction of that, but the fight brewing at the Fed says the comparison isn’t over yet.

The Cantillon Effect: Why Money Printing Makes Some People Rich First

New money doesn’t reach everyone at once: banks and asset holders get it first, wage earners get it last, after prices have already moved. Using Fed balance-sheet data and its own Distributional Financial Accounts, this piece traces exactly how that sequence played out from 2008 to 2022, and why physical gold and silver sit outside the mechanism entirely.

The Fed Votes Wednesday. Gold’s Other Vote Lands Friday.

Two central banks vote on rates this week for the first time in this cycle. Here’s the carry-trade mechanism connecting Friday’s Bank of Japan decision to gold and silver before the Fed even speaks.