Gold Price Outlook August 2026: What Three Data Prints in One Week Mean for Your Metals

Gold is up 10% in August from near $4,000 — its best monthly gain since January. Three data prints in one week flipped the September rate-hike calculus: jobs, CPI, and PPI all came in soft. Hike odds fell from 50% to 31%. Central banks bought a quarterly record 288.9 tonnes in Q2 even as prices fell. Here is what it means for gold holders — and what to watch before the September 15–16 FOMC.

Gold Price and the September Fed Pivot: Five Data Prints Rewrote the Odds This Week

Five data prints this week — retail sales, consumer sentiment, CPI, PPI, and Hormuz — moved September Fed rate-hike odds by 27 points. Here is what each means for gold.

Hormuz. ISM. Hecla. Barrick. Five Things Moved Gold and Silver Today.

Gold is up 4% and silver is up 4% as the gold September Fed hike 2026 premium unwinds from five directions at once. A Hormuz deal takes shape, ISM services misses, Hecla posts record silver output, Barrick’s cost outlook improves, and hike odds drop 15–18 points in five sessions. Here is what moved markets today.