The Same Force That Crushed Gold All Year Just Flipped

The mechanism that sent gold lower for five months just ran in reverse. Trump held off a planned strike on Iran Saturday night. Oil dropped more than 5%. Gold rose. Here is why those two moves are connected — and what this week’s jobs data decides next.

Gold ETFs Lost 45 Tonnes Last Quarter. Central Banks Bought 289. Here’s What That Split Means.

In Q2 2026, gold ETFs shed 45 tonnes. Central banks added 289 — more than six times as much. The World Gold Council data reveals what that split actually means.

Gold Had Every Reason to Rally Today. It Didn’t. Five Reasons Why.

Gold opened above $4,100 this morning and gave it back within hours. Five forces explain why the rally didn’t hold: the Bank of Japan held rates as the yen hit a 40-year low, the US-Iran pause faded, Q2 GDP missed forecasts, the Fed voted 9-to-3 to hold with three regional presidents pushing to hike, and the gold-silver ratio sits near 70.

Warsh Said the PCE Drop Was “Not Much” of a Consideration. Gold Agreed.

June PCE fell to 3.7% — the number gold investors spent the week watching. Gold opened $34 higher anyway. Fed Chair Warsh said the cooler reading was “not much” of a consideration. Here is the mechanism behind the move, and the GDP number nobody was talking about.

Gold at $4,100. Silver Still Stuck Below $60. Five Signals Define the Next Six Weeks.

The Fed held rates for the fifth straight meeting. PCE cooled. Gold crossed $4,100. Silver still can’t break $60. Here are five signals defining the next six weeks before Jackson Hole.

Oil Spiked 8%. Gold Went Up Anyway. Here Is Why This Time Is Different.

Brent crude surged 7.9% on July 29 after Iran fired missiles at US forces. Gold rose anyway. Here is why the standard suppression chain broke — and what the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve’s 43-year low means for every future oil shock.

Gold Is Up $40. Here Is What the 9-3 Fed Vote Actually Means.

The Federal Reserve voted 9-3 to hold rates on July 29 — the most divided FOMC decision since September 2016. Three regional bank presidents dissented in favor of an immediate hike. Gold is up more than $40. Here is exactly why the vote count matters more than the headline decision, and what it means for gold and silver heading into September.

Iran Fired Missiles. Oil Spiked 6%. Gold Fell. The Three-Step Chain Behind the Move.

Iran’s Revolutionary Guard fired ballistic missiles at US forces overnight. All were intercepted. Oil surged more than 6 percent. Gold fell. Here is the exact three-step mechanism behind the counter-intuitive move — and why the structural case for physical metal is unchanged.

Gold Fell 47 Percent in the 1970s Before Its Biggest Run. The Chart Looks Like Right Now.

In the middle of the 1970s gold bull market, gold fell 47 percent. Most investors sold. The ones who held watched it run nearly eight times from that low to the January 1980 peak. GoldSilver’s Megan King Diaz walks through the historical chart — and draws the parallel to where gold sits right now.

Everyone Is Watching the Fed. Gold Is Watching Tomorrow at 8:30 a.m.

The Fed announces its rate decision today at 2:00 p.m. ET. But the number that will most directly determine gold’s next move arrives eight hours later — June PCE, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, releases Thursday at 8:30 a.m. ET. Here is the three-scenario framework that connects tomorrow’s print to your gold.