Zero Tankers Crossed Hormuz on Sunday. Oil Hit $89. Gold Barely Moved.

The 60-day US-Iran MOU expired this weekend with no replacement deal. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz collapsed to zero. Oil climbed. Gold held. Here is why the non-reaction is actually the most important signal in this story.

Gold Price and the September Fed Pivot: Five Data Prints Rewrote the Odds This Week

Five data prints this week — retail sales, consumer sentiment, CPI, PPI, and Hormuz — moved September Fed rate-hike odds by 27 points. Here is what each means for gold.

Jackson Hole Is 14 Days Away. What Warsh Says Could Move Gold More Than Any Inflation Print.

Fed Chair Warsh calls Jackson Hole a chance to frame “the big questions.” Here’s the real-yield mechanism that makes his August 27 speech the most important gold catalyst of the month.

Gold Hit a Two-Month High. Then It Pulled Back. The PPI Data That Caused Both Moves Is What Matters.

Gold hit a two-month high on Wednesday, then gave back ground Thursday as energy costs complicated an otherwise clean inflation signal. PPI came in flat. September Fed hike odds fell to 40%. ETF money is returning. Citi put a $90 target on silver. Here are the five developments shaping precious metals right now.

Two Soft Inflation Prints. Gold Is Still Below $4,500. One Number Is Keeping It There.

Two consecutive soft inflation prints — July PPI flat, CPI up just 0.1% — should be pushing gold through $4,500. Here is the one number keeping the ceiling in place, and the threshold to watch for when it lifts.

China Bought the Most Gold Since 2023 in July. Here’s Why.

China’s central bank just recorded its largest single-month gold purchase since October 2023. The number is notable. The structural reason behind it — a 19-percentage-point reserve allocation gap that no short-term price move will close — is what every gold owner needs to understand.

Gold Climbs 1% Ahead of July CPI. Here Is Why the Print Matters More Than the Number.

Gold climbed above $4,427 on Wednesday as markets positioned ahead of the July CPI release and cut September Fed hike odds to 50-50. Here is the real-yield mechanism driving the move — and why the structural case is unchanged regardless of the print.

Trump Just Said the US Is Only ‘Semi-Negotiating’ With Iran. That One Word Changes Everything for Gold.

Trump told Axios the US is only “semi-negotiating” with Iran — comfortable letting Tehran’s collapsing economy do the work. Here is what that shift in strategy actually means for gold prices, and why the Hormuz stalemate is starting to look less like a temporary spike and more like a structural floor.

Gold Opened at Its Highest Level Since June. Five Things Are Keeping It From Going Higher.

Gold hit a seven-week high after July’s jobs shock cut September rate-hike odds to 44%. Five forces are now pulling on the outcome — and CPI Wednesday is the override switch.

Gold Had Its Best Week Since January. Wednesday’s CPI Could Take It Back.

Gold pulled back Monday after its best weekly gain since January. Here is the exact mechanism behind last week’s 7% move, why Wednesday’s CPI print is the deciding factor for the September Fed decision, and what Iran’s refusal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz means for the inflation picture.