Silver Rises Over 120% YTD 
Warsh Said the PCE Drop Was “Not Much” of a Consideration. Gold Agreed.
June PCE fell to 3.7% — the number gold investors spent the week watching. Gold opened $34 higher anyway. Fed Chair Warsh said the cooler reading was “not much” of a consideration. Here is the mechanism behind the move, and the GDP number nobody was talking about.
Everyone Is Watching the Fed. Gold Is Watching Tomorrow at 8:30 a.m.
The Fed announces its rate decision today at 2:00 p.m. ET. But the number that will most directly determine gold’s next move arrives eight hours later — June PCE, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, releases Thursday at 8:30 a.m. ET. Here is the three-scenario framework that connects tomorrow’s print to your gold.
The Fed Votes Wednesday. Watch the Tally, Not the Decision.
The Fed votes Wednesday. Most coverage will tell you to watch whether it holds or hikes. That is the wrong number. The vote tally — unanimous or split 10-2 — is the signal that defines September rate-hike expectations and gold’s real yield path. Here is the mechanism most headlines will miss.
Oil Spiked 7% Yesterday. Silver Sold Off. Today Physical Buyers Are Doing Something Different.
Silver recovered on Friday, July 24, 2026, after falling roughly 3% the prior session when Brent crude surged 7% above $100. Brent retreated below $100 on Friday as physical buyers stepped back in ahead of the July FOMC meeting. Here is the mechanism — and what the paper-vs-physical divergence tells you about where silver goes next.
