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Gold Is Up 41% From a Year Ago. The Fed Can’t Stop It

Gold bars stacked on US Treasury yield schedule and debt documents showing the tension between gold and government debt in 2026

Gold is trading at $4,648/oz — up 41% from a year ago, down 14% from January’s record. Both numbers are true. The one that matters is the 41%. It held through a war, three hawkish Fed holds, and the most fractured FOMC vote since 1992. Here’s why that gap between the record and today’s price is a floor, not a warning.

PCE at 3.5%, GDP Miss: Why This Is Bullish for Gold

Central bank committee room with one empty chair at the table — what PCE at 3.5% means for gold investors as four central banks hold rates amid stagflation signals

PCE inflation hit 3.5% in March — the highest since May 2023 — while Q1 GDP grew just 2.0%, missing the 2.2% forecast. Four central banks held rates the same morning, with two signalling they discussed hikes. When growth slows and inflation stays hot, the Fed is trapped. That trap has historically been the strongest environment for physical gold and silver.

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