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Gold Price Outlook: Oil Futures Disagree With Stock Markets

Gold bars in the foreground with a blurred financial trading terminal displaying price charts in the background, illustrating the gold price outlook amid oil futures divergence in 2026.

The World Gold Council’s April commentary carries a loaded title: “The Return of Transitory.” It’s a warning — equity markets have priced the Iran-Hormuz crisis as a passing shock, but oil futures are pricing a 22–25% premium over pre-crisis levels through year-end. One of those markets is wrong, and that gap is the most important signal in gold right now.

Gold Is Rising Again. The Reason May Surprise You 

why gold is rising now

Trump says US forces leave Iran in weeks. Gold hits $4,700. Goldman holds its $5,400 target. And Citi is quietly building gold vaults. Here’s what today’s market signals say about where gold — and the economy — are actually headed.

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