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World Gold Council: What’s Next After $3,000 Gold?

Gold crossed the psychological $3,000/oz barrier in mid-March trading sessions, capturing global attention from investors and media alike. While hitting triple zeros makes headlines, the truly significant aspect is gold’s unprecedented pace of appreciation. The metal has reached over 40 new all-time highs in 2024 alone, and the latest $500 increment happened eight times faster than historical averages – just 210 days compared to the typical 1,700 days for previous $500 increments. This extraordinary momentum has pushed gold three standard deviations above its 200-day moving average, suggesting a “perfect storm” for the precious metal. Though some consolidation may occur due […]

Gold-to-S&P Ratio Hits Pandemic-Era Low: Warning Sign or Market Shift?

The ratio between the S&P 500 index and gold has fallen to its lowest level since the pandemic, with March 2025 showing a mean ratio of about 1.9 times (meaning how many ounces of gold it would take to buy the index). This marks a significant drop from 2.3 times in December 2024 and the cyclical peak of 2.5 times in February 2024. According to Aakash Doshi, global head of gold strategy at State Street Global Advisors, this trend signals investors seeking safe-haven assets amid economic and geopolitical uncertainties, though it’s not definitively a recession indicator. Gold has substantially outperformed […]

Data Shows Markets Anticipate Rate Changes Before They Happen

Obsessing over Federal Reserve rate decisions might be a waste of time for your investments according to new research. Historical data since 1980 shows that stock market returns after Fed rate changes—whether cuts or hikes—aren’t significantly different from average market performance. The research examined various scenarios: fourth cuts in a rate-cutting cycle, final cuts, all cuts in a cycle, and first rate hikes after cutting cycles. None of these situations produced meaningful return differences at the 95% confidence level statisticians typically use. Even the seemingly better performance after final rate cuts was skewed by exceptional returns following the March 2020 […]

Gold Outshines S&P 500: Metal Posts Strongest Performance Gap Since 2022

Gold prices have outperformed the S&P 500 index, with the S&P 500/gold ratio dropping to its lowest level since 2020. According to Aakash Doshi of State Street Global Advisors, this trend reflects increased investor demand for safe-haven assets amid economic uncertainty, though it’s not necessarily a recession indicator. The surge in gold prices to record levels above $3,000 per ounce has been driven by physical demand from China, central bank purchases, and the first significant gold ETF inflows since 2020.

Gold’s Quickest $500 Climb in History

Gold's Quickest $500 Climb in History

“On average, gold takes 1,708 days to climb $500 increments, but this latest jump took just 210 days,” notes Taylor Burnette, Research Lead at the World Gold Council.

Indian Government Withdraws Long-Term Gold Deposit Options as Prices Soar

The Indian government has partially discontinued its gold monetisation scheme, eliminating the medium-term (5-7 years) and long-term (12-15 years) deposit options while maintaining the short-term (1-3 years) program. The finance ministry cited “evolving market conditions and performance of the scheme” as reasons for the change. While banks handled interest payments for short-term deposits, the government was responsible for medium and long-term interest payments, making this move likely intended to reduce future financial obligations as gold prices surge. Existing deposits will continue until maturity, and the Reserve Bank of India has updated its master directions accordingly. Gold prices have risen more […]

Copper Prices on Comex Exchange Hit All-Time High

US copper futures on the Comex exchange reached an all-time high of $5.2255 per pound on Tuesday, surpassing the previous record of $5.199 set in May. This surge was fueled by two key factors: market speculation about substantial import tariffs and a report that Glencore temporarily suspended shipments from its Altonorte smelter in Chile due to furnace issues. The front-month contract has increased 29% in 2024, creating a historic disconnect between US prices and the London Metal Exchange global benchmark. This price gap began widening in January and reached a record differential of over $1,400 per ton on Monday, following […]

Moody’s Warns: Trump Tariffs Put U.S. Economic Stability at Risk 

Atlanta Fed Forecasts Recession | Projects a 2.8% GDP Contraction in Q1 25

Moody’s has issued a warning that President Trump’s tariff policies could weaken America’s economic strength and worsen concerns about the U.S. deficit. The credit rating agency predicts these tariffs will negatively impact business investment, consumer confidence, and prevent interest rate cuts by the Fed. Moody’s also noted that U.S. government debt affordability is significantly weaker than in previous decades, with the deficit projected to reach 8.5% of GDP within ten years. While acknowledging the unique position of the U.S. dollar as a reserve currency, Moody’s suggests that fiscal weakening will likely continue even under favorable economic conditions, and the DOGE […]

Barron’s: Gold Could Reach $4,000 as Investors Flee Risk

Multiple market strategists, including Bloomberg’s Mick McGlone, Yardeni Research, and Jeffrey Gundlach, forecast gold could hit $4,000 as investors flee riskier assets amid market uncertainty. This shift is already underway, with the S&P 500 dropping 8.1% and Bitcoin falling nearly 13% since February, while gold gained 3% during the same period. Gold has surged nearly 40% over the past year, reaching a record high before settling at $3,020. ETF flows dramatically illustrate this change, as investors have pulled over $4 billion from once-hot Bitcoin ETFs while pouring nearly $7 billion into gold ETFs last month. Treasury bonds are also benefiting […]

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