High gold prices are taking a toll on Asia’s physical demand, according to Commerzbank’s commodity analyst Barbara Lambrecht. India, facing record-high gold prices in rupees, imported just 21 tons in June – the lowest level since April 2023 and contributing to a 30% year-over-year decline in first-half imports to 204 tons. Swiss gold export data reinforced this Asian weakness, with shipments to China falling 39% month-over-month to 16.7 tons, India exports dropping 71% to under 3 tons, and Hong Kong receiving 35% less at under one ton. However, the picture diverged sharply in Europe, where Swiss exports to the UK climbed significantly, reflecting stronger investor appetite for gold ETFs. European gold ETFs recorded substantial inflows of approximately 23 tons in June according to the World Gold Council, demonstrating how investment demand is offsetting physical market weakness in price-sensitive Asian markets.

Oil Crashed 11%. Gold Went Up. That Tells You Everything.
Oil crashed 11% on Friday when Iran reopened the Strait of Hormuz. Gold went up. That rare divergence — oil down, gold up, same catalyst — signals that gold’s rally is driven by monetary forces, not geopolitical ones. The war premium left oil. The monetary premium stayed in gold. Here is what that means for precious metals investors watching the Fed’s next move.




