100 Days In: Trump’s ‘Strategic Uncertainty’ on Tariffs Leaves Markets Guessing

China’s central bank (PBoC) has continued its gold buying streak for the sixth consecutive month, adding 70,000 ounces (just over 2 tons) to its reserves in April. However, this represents a declining trend in monthly purchases, down from nearly 3 tons in March, 5 tons in January and February, and over 10 tons in December. Since resuming gold purchases last November, the PBoC has acquired a total of 970,000 ounces (about 30 tons)—significantly less than previous buying sprees when it purchased similar amounts in a single month. Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch suggests this reduced buying interest might be connected to

Gold continues to dominate commodities trading, reaching a peak of $3,500 per ounce in April and currently trading around $3,320. Investors are pouring money into gold-backed ETPs due to uncertainties surrounding Trump’s trade tariffs, economic policies, and global geopolitical risks. While JP Morgan projects gold to exceed $4,000 within a year, some analysts are growing cautious. LBBW expects prices to reach only $3,000 by year-end, citing increased mining supply and already high speculator positions. HSBC’s technical analyst warns that gold’s price has diverged significantly from its 200-week moving average, suggesting potential consolidation ahead.