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TOP NEWS What They Aren't Telling You About The Yield Curve

What They Aren't Telling You About The Yield Curve Join Mike Maloney as he reveals an important factor of the partial Yield Curve inversion that is being ignored by mainstream news and media. Then stick around to the end of the video to see yet another indicator that is suggesting a huge change in markets could be upon us...

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Dec 10, 2018 - 04:26:59 PST

2019 Gold Price Forecasts and Predictions from the Big Investment Banks

It’s time for our roundup of the big investment banks and where they predict the gold price will go in 2019. Their forecasts, while as fallible as any others, are worth paying attention to for one reason: These banks control enormous amounts of capital, so keeping an eye on where they stand vis a vis the gold price is worth monitoring.

Dec 11, 2018 - 10:34:42 PST

Germany Cuts 2018 GDP Growth Forecast to 1.6%

"The German economy, Europe’s largest, has shifted into a lower gear as Britain’s looming departure from the European Union and trade conflicts sparked by U.S. President Donald Trump’s ‘America First’ policies cause business uncertainty."

Dec 11, 2018 - 08:29:17 PST

"It Grows as It Goes": New Mexico's State Motto Fitting as Credit Card Debt Leads Nation

"In New Mexico, a household earning the median annual income of $46,744 would take nearly 1.5 years to pay off the state’s average household credit card balance of $8,323."

Dec 11, 2018 - 08:24:49 PST

WSJ: "Now Loan Investors Are Heading for the Exits"

"Speculative-grade loans, a rare bright spot in the fixed-income world for most of the year, have hit a rough patch, posing challenges for businesses that have relied on the market."

Dec 11, 2018 - 08:07:04 PST

Northman Trader: "Mario’s Hell"

"Oh dear. I don’t envy Mario Draghi right now. But he’s doubled the ECB balance sheet to over 41% of Eurozone GDP since 2014 and he’s kept interest rates at -0.4% since March 16, 2016 and has been advertising an end to QE by the end of 2018."

Dec 11, 2018 - 07:33:15 PST

Foreign Investors, More and More, Turning Away From US Treasuries

"A worrying sign of inversion in the U.S. Treasury bond curve is dulling the appeal of the developed world’s highest-yielding bond market for foreign investors."

Dec 11, 2018 - 07:07:39 PST

Jerome Powell's "Charm Offensive" Designed to Counter Trump's Attacks on the Fed

"The Fed has announced a series of initiatives, including a monetary-policy review roadshow, a semi-annual assessment of financial stability, and its inaugural Supervision and Regulation Report. These follow Powell’s early promise of 'plain-English' explanations and a doubling of his press conferences."

Dec 11, 2018 - 06:12:53 PST

WSJ: Wall Street 'Fear Gauge' Says "Buy the Dip" Has Become "Sell the Spike"

"Unlike October, investors no longer see the market correction as a temporary dislocation, but rather driven by more persistent macro risks,' wrote Mandy Xu, derivatives strategist at Credit Suisse."

Dec 11, 2018 - 06:03:28 PST

Japan's Miserable Q3 GDP: -2.5%, Worst in 4 Years

The world's most-central-bank-owned economy is a mess. "The capital expenditure component of GDP fell a sharp 2.8 percent from Q2, worse than the expected 1.6 percent decline and the preliminary reading of a 0.2 percent drop."

Dec 11, 2018 - 05:43:24 PST

The Swiss Central Bank, Also the World's Largest Hedge Fund, Losing on Tech Stock Bets

"Pretty much everything the financial world is doing these days relies on a false sense of security fostered by 'innovations' (ZIRP, QE, ETFs) that hide the true risks of financial assets. And people are starting to figure this out."

Dec 11, 2018 - 05:37:11 PST

FY 2019 Federal Budget Deficit Soars, 50% Higher Than Same First 2 Months of FY 2018

"In October and November, the federal government spent $303 billion more than it took in, compared to $202 billion in the same period of fiscal 2018, according to the CBO."

Dec 11, 2018 - 05:34:06 PST

Former Senate Banking Committee Chair Phil Gramm: "The Debt Threat to the Economy"

"Fighting a trade war and maintaining a strong recovery may be mutually exclusive objectives. To ensure the U.S. has sufficient capital resources to sustain the recovery, the president needs to cut his deal with China."

Dec 11, 2018 - 05:18:58 PST

"Unholy Alliance": When Banks Pay Colleges to Market Directly to Students

“Anyone that looks at this data and the extent to which large banks continue to team up with colleges and universities to gouge the student body with overdraft fees should be outraged,' said Seth Frotman, formerly of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau."

Dec 11, 2018 - 05:15:23 PST

Yellen: "There Are Gigantic Holes in the System"

"Former Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen told an audience in New York City Monday night that she fears there could be another financial crisis because banking regulators have seen their authority reduced to address panics and because of the current push to deregulate."

Dec 11, 2018 - 05:12:30 PST

IMF: Governments Have Wasted 2 Great Economic Years, Failed to Fix Structural Problems

The fund had been urging governments to “fix the roof” during a sunny last two years for the world economy, IMF First Deputy Managing Director David Lipton said. “But I see storm clouds building, and fear the work on crisis prevention is incomplete.”

Dec 11, 2018 - 04:15:07 PST

JPMorgan: 70% Chance of Recession by 2020; 100% Chance by 2022

"JPM calculates recession probabilities based on regression models, which track such indicators as prime-age male participation, consumer and business sentiment to prime-age male labor participation, compensation growth, and durables and structures as a share of GDP."

Dec 11, 2018 - 04:08:42 PST

Richard Fisher on How Bad Credit in Europe Could "Infect" US

"Fisher says a 'hyper-leveraged government' issuing even more U.S. Treasury bonds next year, the Fed raising rates, and potential dangers from bad credit in the European Union could cause a slowdown."

Dec 11, 2018 - 04:05:47 PST

"I Have Not Been This Worried Since 2008": BofA Head of Global Rates David Woo

"We’ll have a $1 trillion budget deficit, a big fight over the debt ceiling, gridlock and the U.S. economy will be slowing at the same time. The only thing I’m confident in is volatility will be high next year."

Dec 11, 2018 - 03:53:56 PST

Fed's Powell Says Wells Fargo's Balance Sheet Will Remain Frozen Until Fraud Fixed

In February, the Fed ordered Wells Fargo to freeze its balance sheet, keeping its assets below $1.95 trillion, until it put new checks on senior managers and gave the board new powers to sniff out abuses.

Dec 10, 2018 - 15:21:02 PST

Gold Traders' Report - December 10, 2018

Gold briefly broke support at $1243 and dipped to $1241.70, but bargain hunting buying brought it quickly back to $1,244. Gold was $1,244 bid at 4PM with a loss of $4.


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