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The Fed just raised interest rates again which could put even more pressure on the banks. Things are heating up and the wheels are falling off. That’s why Mike is dropping everything to bring you this urgent market alert.
Things are truly heating up, but what caused this? Where is it going?
READ MORETraders quip that one of the few things to rally during bear periods is volatility. Add gold to the list. Its price has leapt about 7 per cent so far in March to one-year highs of just under $2,000 per ounce. With investors dumping stocks and corporate bonds, money has flowed into both government bonds and gold.
READ MORE“We avoided the debt crisis a couple of times...but now the game is over," economist Nouriel Roubini said in a new interview.
READ MOREElon Musk disagreed with the Fed describing the banking system as “sound and resilient,” tweeting, “banks are melting.”
READ MOREMarkets are signaling the Federal Reserve is wrong when it talks about the prospect for further interest-rate hikes, with bond investor Jeffrey Gundlach among the latest to predict cuts instead as the risk of recession grows.
READ MORE“When you spread out free money for years at a time, you create significant drag, and I just don’t see how we are going to avoid a slowdown as that whole process comes to an end,”... “I think the Fed screwed up by allowing zero interest rates to go on too long, I think we are just beginning to pay the price for that,” Zell points out. “It would be nice to say that it would be great if the Fed got lucky. I’ve been around for 50 years and I’ve never seen the Fed get lucky.”
READ MORETwo top former US economic policymakers sharply criticized the Federal Reserve’s 2022 stress tests of banks for failing to have probed potential vulnerabilities in the banking system to a sharp rise in interest rates.
READ MOREAfter tumbling in January (thanks to no big Boeing plan order that juiced December's data), analysts expected a modest rebound (+0.2% MoM) in preliminary February data. However, they were wrong as durable goods orders dropped 1.0% MoM. And it's worse because this happened even after January's 4.5% drop was revised even lower to -5.0% MoM.
READ MORERecession indicators a ringing loudly as the Fed maintains a "hawkish" bias despite the markets not listening.
READ MORE"As long as people aren't all coming in at the same time and demanding that their deposits back, you're okay, but that's exactly what's been happening," Prof. Stephan Weiler told Fortune. "So the chances of facing those unrealized losses are going up."
READ MOREInvestors are fleeing to cash in the biggest rush since the onset of the pandemic as concerns of an economic slowdown mount, according to Bank of America Corp. strategists who see equity and credit markets slumping in coming months.
READ MOREDespite quick action by regulators and policy makers, there's a rising risk that banking-system stress will spill over into other sectors and the U.S. economy, "unleashing greater financial and economic damage than we anticipated," said Moody's Investors Service, one of the Big Three credit-ratings firms.Simply put, the risk is that officials "will be unable to curtail the current turmoil without longer-lasting and potentially severe repercussions within and beyond the banking sector," Atsi Sheth, Moody's managing director of credit strategy, and others wrote in a note distributed on Thursday.
READ MOREA Federal Reserve facility that gives foreign central banks access to dollar funding was tapped for a record $60 billion, in a week of banking stress that has roiled markets.
READ MOREBanks reduced their borrowings only slightly from two Federal Reserve backstop facilities in the most recent week, a sign that institutions are taking advantage of the central bank’s liquidity in the wake of turmoil.
READ MOREU.S. Treasury yields fell on Friday as investors considered what the latest banking sector developments and the Fed’s policy path could mean for the economy.
READ MOREBanks are sitting on unrealized losses thanks to rising interest rates. That helped lead to the implosion of Silicon Valley Bank this month. Institutions borrowed $53.7 billion from the Bank Term Funding Program as of Wednesday, up sharply from $11.9 billion last week.
READ MOREFederal Reserve emergency lending to banks, which hit record levels last week, remained high in the latest week, amid continued large scale extensions of credit to the financial system, which now includes official foreign borrowing.
READ MOREInvestors' attention shifted from this week's Federal Reserve meeting back to the global banking system.
READ MOREBanking stocks fell sharply in Europe on Friday with heavyweights Deutsche Bank and UBS Group pummelled by worries that the worst problems in the sector since the 2008 financial crisis have not yet been contained.
READ MOREThere is no specific news on DB to catalyze these moves but if DB is next, then the world's financial system has a serious problem that makes CS look like SVB.
READ MORE