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US consumer prices rose 0.5% in January, marking the largest increase in nearly 18 months. The year-over-year inflation rate reached 3.0%, exceeding economists’ expectations of 2.9%. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.4% monthly and 3.3% annually. This stronger-than-expected inflation report has complicating implications for monetary policy. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged that the central bank is “not quite there yet” in its mission to bring inflation down to 2%. The data, combined with a stable labor market, has led some economists to question whether the Fed’s easing cycle might be over, with the policy...

How Will Gold & Silver Perform Under the Trump Admin? Alan Hibbard
Are tariffs, trade wars, and global volatility pushing precious metals to new heights? Alan Hibbard dives deep into why gold is hitting all-time highs....

Gold’s rally shows no signs of slowing as the precious metal inches closer to the psychological $3,000 mark, driven by multiple supporting factors. The latest surge comes as President Trump and Vladimir Putin initiated discussions to end the Ukraine conflict, which strengthened the euro against a weakening US dollar. Despite inflation data exceeding expectations and potentially delaying rate cuts, gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset remains strong. The rally has been further supported by significant purchases from central banks, particularly China, and increased investment in gold-backed ETFs.

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Recent market data suggests that inflation may remain stubbornly above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target for several years. The five-year breakeven inflation rate currently sits at 2.6% and has consistently stayed above key moving averages since October. Market traders are predicting inflation rates around 2.9% through November, while economists expect January’s headline inflation rate to be 2.8%, with core inflation at 3.1%. Fed Chair Powell has emphasized the need for patience regarding interest rate cuts, particularly as markets assess the potential impact of Trump’s proposed tariffs. The situation is complicated by what experts describe as an “embedded inflationary mindset” among...

Russians are increasingly turning to gold as a financial safe haven amid growing economic pressures. Consumer gold purchases hit 75.6 metric tons in 2024, marking a 6% increase from 2023 and a dramatic 62% jump from pre-war levels in 2021. Why? A few reasons: record-high inflation at 9.5%, the ruble’s historic lows, and international sanctions limiting investment options. The trend benefits both consumers and the Russian government, which needs outlets for its annual 300-metric-ton mining output, especially since the central bank has reduced its historically large gold purchases. The strategy has paid off for Russian buyers, with gold prices surging...

Gold market experts Frank Giustra and Grant Williams delivered important warnings about the future of gold during their presentation at VRIC. They highlighted a significant divide in how different parts of the world approach gold investment. Eastern investors tend to view gold as a way to preserve wealth over the long term, while Western investors are more attracted to quick gains from technology stocks and cryptocurrencies. The experts warned of an approaching crisis with the U.S. dollar and emphasized that gold will be crucial for protecting investment portfolios. However, they also pointed out serious troubles brewing in the gold mining...

The Trump administration plans to announce a new trade policy this week that will match other countries’ tariffs on U.S. goods with equal tariffs on their exports to America. This will be done through an executive order. This new tariff policy is a revival of an earlier attempt from Trump’s first term that didn’t succeed when tried through Congress. Peter Navarro, who serves as Trump’s senior advisor on trade and manufacturing, is leading this initiative. Navarro has long supported this approach to trade, including when he backed similar legislation proposed by Sean Duffy, who is now Trump’s Transportation Secretary.

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Russian banks’ gold reserves plunged 46.4% in 2024, hitting their lowest level since July 2022 at 38.1 metric tons ($3.4 billion). This dichotomy reflects the country’s complex economic challenges: high inflation at 9.5%, record interest rates at 21%, and ongoing sanctions impact. Russian citizens, faced with a weakening ruble and limited international investment options due to sanctions, increased their gold purchases by 75.6 metric tons – up 62% from pre-war levels. Meanwhile, Russia’s position as the world’s second-largest gold producer remains strong, with production expected to grow through 2027, despite the significant drawdown in institutional reserves to their lowest level...

A buying frenzy has emptied gold inventories across China’s banking sector as the precious metal hits consecutive record highs, reaching $2,942.71 per ounce. The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China reports nearly all sizes of their Ruyi Gold bars are out of stock, with only 10-gram bars showing limited availability. Similar shortages are seen at other major institutions, including Agricultural Bank of China and China Construction Bank, while Bank of China has moved to a preorder system. Local gold stores are also affected, with one Shanghai retailer selling out of 100-gram bars before the Chinese New Year.

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As gold experiences a remarkable rally with over 40% gains in the past 12 months, outpacing the S&P 500’s performance by double, a controversial proposal has emerged regarding America’s gold reserves. The suggestion to adjust the bookkeeping valuation of these reserves could theoretically add $750 billion to the U.S. Treasury overnight. However, at least one expert is sounding the alarm, warning that attempting to capitalize on this potential windfall could trigger an “Armageddon” event in the markets. The strong performance of gold reflects growing investor concerns about fiat currency stability and potential economic instability.

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