The CBOE Volatility Index, commonly known as the VIX, has surged 39% over the past five days, signaling heightened market anxiety and uncertainty. Often referred to as the “fear index” or “fear gauge,” this real-time measure of expected S&P 500 volatility over the next 30 days has become a key barometer of investor sentiment since its creation by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) in 1993. This sharp spike in volatility has directly corresponded with significant moves in precious metals markets, with gold reaching record highs and silver showing strong gains as well. As investors seek safe-haven assets amid growing...
Original Source: Yahoo Finance
Gold prices surged to an unprecedented high of $3,127.92 per ounce this week, continuing a remarkable bull run that has seen the precious metal gain almost 19% since the beginning of the year. The latest price jump comes as markets react nervously to President Trump’s aggressive trade policies, including a recently signed 25% tariff on auto imports and anticipated “reciprocal tariffs” expected Wednesday. The gold rally has been sustained by two primary factors: significant buying from central banks worldwide and increased demand for safe-haven assets amid growing geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties. This upward momentum has persisted even as traders...
Original Source: Yahoo Finance
U.S. equity funds experienced their strongest weekly inflows since November, with investors adding a net $22.24 billion in the week through March 26, completely reversing the previous week’s $33.53 billion outflow. This surge in investment came as markets responded positively to signals that the Trump administration might take a more measured approach to tariffs, shifting investor focus toward potential corporate earnings growth. However, market volatility returned later in the week when President Trump announced a 25% import tax on foreign-made vehicles and auto parts. Large-cap equity funds were the primary beneficiary, attracting $23.1 billion and reversing their previous week’s $27.38...
Original Source: Yahoo Finance
The S&P 500 is having its worst month since September 2023, and Jim Paulsen has identified a concerning signal: S&P 500 stocks are moving independently of each other at levels not seen in 25 years. This “low correlation” environment typically occurs when market breadth narrows (few stocks leading the market), during monetary tightening, and often as bull markets mature. Historical data shows this pattern has preceded trouble – six of eight bear markets since 1980 started when correlation was below average, as it is today. When stocks have been this disconnected (bottom quartile of correlation), future S&P 500 returns averaged...
Original Source: MarketWatch
Economists now expect slower US growth in 2025 – just 2% for the year instead of the previously predicted 2.3%, according to Bloomberg’s latest survey. The first three months of 2025 look particularly weak, with growth expected at only 1.2%, down from earlier forecasts of 2.2%. This slowdown is happening because both consumers and businesses are spending less money due to uncertainty about President Trump’s changing trade policies. At the same time, inflation is expected to reach 2.8% by year-end, higher than the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. Because of this persistent inflation, the Fed is being cautious about cutting interest...
Original Source: Bloomberg
The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, held steady at 2.5% year-over-year in February, matching January’s rate. Core PCE inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, came in at 2.8% annually and 0.4% monthly, slightly exceeding economists’ expectations of 2.7% and 0.3% respectively. Consumer spending showed resilience, increasing 0.4% in February after January’s 0.3% decline, while inflation-adjusted disposable income rose 0.5% monthly and 1.8% annually. Fed officials remain cautious about inflation’s outlook, not expecting a return to their 2% target until 2027. Boston Fed President Susan Collins acknowledged upcoming tariffs will likely increase inflation...
Original Source: MarketWatch
Global stock markets tumbled Friday as President Trump’s announcement of 25% auto tariffs fueled fears of an escalating trade war, while gold reached new record highs as investors sought safe-haven assets. Asian markets were hit particularly hard, with Japan’s Nikkei falling nearly 2% as Toyota and Honda shares dropped sharply. South Korea’s Kospi similarly declined 2%, while Europe’s STOXX 600 edged down with its automotive sector logging its sixth straight week of losses. Automakers including Volvo, Audi, Mercedes-Benz and Hyundai have begun relocating production in response to the tariffs. Markets remain anxious ahead of April 2, when reciprocal measures against...
Original Source: Reuters
While gold has surged 36% over the past year, silver has only risen 27%, underperforming at what should be a moment of significant outperformance. Ross Norman, of Metalsdaily.com contends that the “manipulation” narrative misunderstands how markets actually work, as banks maintain neutral positions through offsetting physical and futures positions. This persistent negative messaging leaves silver “friendless” in the market despite strong fundamentals. The constant claims of manipulation deter potential investors from entering the market, making them distrust not the alleged manipulators but the messengers themselves.
...Original Source: Metalsdaily.com
Wall Street continues to raise its bullish outlook on gold as the precious metal reaches new heights. Bank of America has increased its price target from $3,000 to $3,500 per ounce over the next 18 months, based on projections of 10% growth in investments through increased buying from China, central banks, and physically backed ETFs. This follows Macquarie Group’s similar $3,500 forecast for Q3 2025. JPMorgan analysts have noted the unprecedented speed of gold’s price increases, with the move from $2,500 to $3,000 taking just 210 days compared to the historical average of 1,700 days for $500 increments. They suggest...
Original Source: Yahoo Finance
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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Any historical returns, expected returns, or probability projections may not reflect actual future performance. All investments, including precious metals, involve risk and may result in partial or total loss. No conclusion of any type or kind should be drawn regarding the future performance of investments offered or managed by us based upon the information presented herein. Performance information presented has been prepared internally (unless otherwise noted) and has not been audited or verified by a third party. Information on this page is based on information available to us as of the date of posting and we do not represent that it is accurate, complete or up to date. See our complete disclaimers for additional details.
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