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30-Year Treasury Breaks 5% as Fed Cut Timeline Shifts

U.S. Treasury markets experienced a significant selloff as December’s unexpectedly strong employment data forced a major reassessment of Federal Reserve policy expectations. The 30-year yield pushed above 5% for the first time in over a year, while yields on shorter-dated Treasuries jumped more than 10 basis points across the board. This market reaction reflects a fundamental shift in rate expectations, with traders now pricing in fewer cuts and pushing the timeline for the first reduction from June to September. Since the Fed began its cutting cycle in September, yields have climbed approximately 100 basis points, suggesting that current financial conditions may not be as restrictive as the Fed previously assumed.

Kevin Warsh Wants to Fix the Fed. The Math Says He Can't.
Videos

Kevin Warsh Wants to Fix the Fed. The Math Says He Can’t.

Kevin Warsh arrived at the Fed with a bold agenda — shrink the balance sheet, normalize policy, restore credibility. But with $6.7 trillion in assets, global bond yields at multi-decade highs, and markets pricing in rate hikes instead of cuts, the math is working against him. Alan breaks down why the plan may be dead on arrival and what it means for gold.

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Researcher in white gloves holding a silver solid state battery pouch cell in a laboratory setting
Articles

Silver’s Tesla Moment: The Solid-State Battery Thesis

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Kevin Warsh Wants to Fix the Fed. The Math Says He Can't.
Videos

Kevin Warsh Wants to Fix the Fed. The Math Says He Can’t.

Kevin Warsh arrived at the Fed with a bold agenda — shrink the balance sheet, normalize policy, restore credibility. But with $6.7 trillion in assets, global bond yields at multi-decade highs, and markets pricing in rate hikes instead of cuts, the math is working against him. Alan breaks down why the plan may be dead on arrival and what it means for gold.

Read More »

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