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Existing Home Sales Drop 4.9% as High Rates and Prices Squeeze Buyers

U.S. existing home sales fell 4.9% in January to an annual rate of 4.08 million units, exceeding economists’ forecasted decline.

The decline to 4.08 million units annually was worse than the 4.12 million units economists had predicted. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun points to a persistent affordability crisis, as mortgage rates have remained elevated around 6.85% despite the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 100 basis points since September.

This housing market weakness, coupled with a sharp decline in single-family housing starts, suggests residential investment is faltering early in 2024. The Fed’s pause in rate cuts reflects their assessment of potentially inflationary policies from the Trump administration, including tariffs, tax cuts, and immigration measures, leaving potential homebuyers caught between high rates and elevated prices.

gold price drop after May CPI report — fuel pump nozzle held over a gold coin on dark slate surface
News

May CPI Printed 4.2%. Core Inflation Beat. So Why Did the Gold Price Drop?

May CPI came in at 4.2% — the fastest pace since early 2023 — and the gold price fell nearly $100 to 11-week lows. But the headline is almost entirely an energy story: gasoline is up 40.5% year-over-year while core CPI rose just 0.2% for the month, below forecast and down sharply from April. The market sold gold on a number it was already expecting. The data behind that number tells a different story.

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How Gold Price Is Set: The East-West Tide Explained
Articles

How Gold Price Is Set: The East-West Tide Explained

For 90 years, gold has moved in a recurring tide between Western financial markets and Eastern physical holders. Understanding who sets the price — and why that mechanism is shifting — is the most useful mental model a gold investor can carry.

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Gold Is Down 9%. The CPI Print That Could Either Extend the Drop — or End It.
News

Gold Is Down 9%. The CPI Print That Could Either Extend the Drop — or End It.

Gold is down 9% from its April high near $4,800. Two forces drove the pullback: the Iran–Israel ceasefire unwound the geopolitical risk premium, and a blowout jobs report pushed Fed rate-hike odds to 68–70% by December. The May CPI print is the next catalyst. Here’s the mechanism behind the move — and what each scenario means for physical holders.

Read More »

Latest News

gold price drop after May CPI report — fuel pump nozzle held over a gold coin on dark slate surface
News

May CPI Printed 4.2%. Core Inflation Beat. So Why Did the Gold Price Drop?

May CPI came in at 4.2% — the fastest pace since early 2023 — and the gold price fell nearly $100 to 11-week lows. But the headline is almost entirely an energy story: gasoline is up 40.5% year-over-year while core CPI rose just 0.2% for the month, below forecast and down sharply from April. The market sold gold on a number it was already expecting. The data behind that number tells a different story.

Read More »
Gold Is Down 9%. The CPI Print That Could Either Extend the Drop — or End It.
News

Gold Is Down 9%. The CPI Print That Could Either Extend the Drop — or End It.

Gold is down 9% from its April high near $4,800. Two forces drove the pullback: the Iran–Israel ceasefire unwound the geopolitical risk premium, and a blowout jobs report pushed Fed rate-hike odds to 68–70% by December. The May CPI print is the next catalyst. Here’s the mechanism behind the move — and what each scenario means for physical holders.

Read More »

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