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Foreign Treasury Selloff Accelerates as Trade Tensions Rise, Threatening U.S. Borrowing Costs

BNY data shows foreign investors are rapidly selling U.S. Treasury bonds in April 2025 amid President Trump’s escalating tariff disputes. John Velis, BNY’s Americas macro strategist, warns that Treasurys’ “haven status is increasingly in question,” with the week ending April 11 experiencing one of the largest selloffs in years.

While the White House defends tariffs as tools to combat fentanyl trafficking, control immigration, and boost domestic manufacturing, the U.S. relies heavily on foreign buyers to finance its deficit. Foreign ownership of Treasury debt has fallen from 50% in 2008 to around 30% today. The selloff accelerated after Trump’s April 2 announcement of major “reciprocal” tariffs, though he later paused some for 90 days. Continued foreign selling threatens to increase borrowing costs for both the federal government and American consumers.

Gold bars in front of the Federal Reserve building — gold price non-reaction Iran ceasefire
News

Gold Didn’t Fall on Iran Peace News. That’s the Point.

Trump called off a planned strike on Iran Monday afternoon. Oil fell over 1%. Gold slipped 0.23%. That’s not a non-event — it’s a signal. The gold price isn’t moving on war or peace news because it’s no longer the war holding it up. It’s the Fed trap: a central bank that can’t raise rates into a $39 trillion debt and can’t cut while inflation runs hot. Until that changes, the floor holds.

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Gold price Iran pause monetary floor: three gold bars stacked on a dark surface against a red financial data display showing U.S. national debt figures
News

Trump Called Off the Strike. Gold’s Real Risk Is Still $39 Trillion.

Trump’s decision to pause a planned Iran strike sent gold swinging $45 intraday and crude oil down more than 2% — but the two metals told completely different stories. Oil priced out the geopolitical risk. Gold barely moved. Five briefs explain why: Iran is the catalyst, not the cause. The monetary fundamentals driving gold — $39 trillion in national debt, fifteen years of money creation, central banks in their fifteenth straight year of net buying — don’t get resolved by a phone call.

Read More »

Latest News

Gold bars in front of the Federal Reserve building — gold price non-reaction Iran ceasefire
News

Gold Didn’t Fall on Iran Peace News. That’s the Point.

Trump called off a planned strike on Iran Monday afternoon. Oil fell over 1%. Gold slipped 0.23%. That’s not a non-event — it’s a signal. The gold price isn’t moving on war or peace news because it’s no longer the war holding it up. It’s the Fed trap: a central bank that can’t raise rates into a $39 trillion debt and can’t cut while inflation runs hot. Until that changes, the floor holds.

Read More »
Gold price Iran pause monetary floor: three gold bars stacked on a dark surface against a red financial data display showing U.S. national debt figures
News

Trump Called Off the Strike. Gold’s Real Risk Is Still $39 Trillion.

Trump’s decision to pause a planned Iran strike sent gold swinging $45 intraday and crude oil down more than 2% — but the two metals told completely different stories. Oil priced out the geopolitical risk. Gold barely moved. Five briefs explain why: Iran is the catalyst, not the cause. The monetary fundamentals driving gold — $39 trillion in national debt, fifteen years of money creation, central banks in their fifteenth straight year of net buying — don’t get resolved by a phone call.

Read More »

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